Analysis of the energy storage operation of electrical vehicles with a photovoltaic roof using a Markov chain model

Junseok Song, V. Krishnamurthy, A. Kwasinski, R. Molina
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引用次数: 13

Abstract

Energy storage operation in electrical vehicles, with a photovoltaic roof, is analyzed. When an electrical vehicle uses a photovoltaic roof in order to provide supplemental power, it is critical to understand how much power is generated through insolation and how generated photovoltaic power affects the energy storage operation of the electrical vehicles. Hence, this paper proposes to use a Markov chain model in order to simulate the charge and discharge processes that occur in energy storage, which enables to estimate the charge level of energy storage system at the end of any day. From a planning perspective, the aforementioned estimations may take an important role; for instance, the simulated results may help to answer questions such as how much power would be required from grid operators as a number of operating electrical vehicles increase in a certain region. In order to conduct the simulations, this paper uses insolation data collected in Austin, TX, USA and survey results on how far people drive every day in the urban cluster areas in the USA. The data sets are used to determine their distributions so that a large number of random values can be generated with respect to the found distribution using Monte Carlo simulations. Then, the generated random values are used to determine the one-step transition probability matrices that represent charge and discharge processes. In addition, the energy storage system of an electrical vehicle model developed by Daimler is used to demonstrate the presented Markov chain model and estimate the expected charge level of energy storage system at the end of any day.
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基于马尔可夫链模型的光伏车顶电动汽车储能运行分析
分析了采用光伏车顶的电动汽车的储能运行。当电动汽车使用光伏车顶提供补充电力时,了解通过日照产生多少电力以及产生的光伏电力如何影响电动汽车的储能运行至关重要。因此,本文提出使用马尔可夫链模型来模拟储能过程中的充放电过程,从而可以估计储能系统在任意一天结束时的电量水平。从规划的角度来看,上述估计可能会发挥重要作用;例如,模拟结果可能有助于回答这样的问题:随着某一地区电动汽车数量的增加,电网运营商需要多少电力。为了进行模拟,本文使用在美国德克萨斯州奥斯汀收集的日照数据和美国城市群地区人们每天开车距离的调查结果。数据集用于确定它们的分布,以便使用蒙特卡罗模拟可以根据发现的分布生成大量随机值。然后,使用生成的随机值来确定表示充放电过程的一步转移概率矩阵。此外,以戴姆勒公司开发的电动汽车储能系统模型为例,对所提出的马尔可夫链模型进行了验证,并估计了储能系统在任意一天结束时的预期电量水平。
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