Justification of the scope of competitive application of liquefied natural gas

O. Medvedeva, Sergey D. Perevalov
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Abstract

Recent events in the world have shown the unprofitability of implementing projects of large-capacity liquefied natural gas (LNG) plants. Relatively small investments in low-tonnage production are more attractive for investors due to the shorter construction period and payback period. To date, various models of LNG production projects are being implemented in Russia, most of them are integrated, including gas extraction, due to which they are competitively stable. This paper provides a solution to the issue of delivery of liquefied natural gas using a logistic model that connects the LNG production plant and end-users of gas, taking into account the geometric and functional characteristics of vehicles, existing transport interchanges, the characteristics of the population of territories, the required volumes of gas consumption and other determining factors. As an example of the operability of the proposed model, the optimal distance of gas transportation is substantiated by calculation using the example of one of the regions of the Russian Federation. Depending on the annual gas consumption, the critical radius varies within a sufficiently large range — from 40 to 150 km. According to the algorithm presented in the article, cost cutting can amount to about $ 1,538 million/year.
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液化天然气竞争性应用范围的论证
最近世界上发生的事件表明,实施大容量液化天然气(LNG)工厂项目无利可图。相对较小的低吨位生产投资,由于建设周期和投资回收期较短,对投资者更具吸引力。迄今为止,俄罗斯正在实施各种LNG生产项目,其中大多数是综合的,包括天然气开采,因此它们具有竞争力稳定。考虑到车辆的几何和功能特征、现有的运输交汇处、领土人口的特征、所需的天然气消费量和其他决定因素,本文使用连接液化天然气生产工厂和最终天然气用户的物流模型提供了液化天然气交付问题的解决方案。作为所提出的模型可操作性的一个例子,天然气运输的最佳距离通过使用俄罗斯联邦的一个地区的例子计算得到证实。根据年耗油量的不同,临界半径在足够大的范围内变化——从40公里到150公里。根据本文提出的算法,成本削减可达约15.38亿美元/年。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
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