Prediction model of track quality index based on Genetic algorithm and support vector machine

Mingen Huo, Yao Bai, Hao Zou, Junquan Guan, Ye Fu, Yong-Jun Xie
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Abstract

In recent years, the development of modern tram is rapid. In order to guarantee the long-term stable and safe operation of tram, predicting the overall condition of the relevant running lines and guiding the track maintenance are increasingly important. Nevertheless, due to the limitation of data mining and analysis technology, the analysis and application level of modern tramcar track detection data and the prediction level of the overall status of the track are relatively backward in China. Based on the analysis of geometric parameters of original track detection in the section of track quality index (TQI), this paper proposes a set of overall situation prediction model, which is based on the improved vector machine (SVM), and implements the analysis and prediction of TQI change. Meantime this prediction model can provide a new evaluation thought for the overall situation of modern tram track.
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基于遗传算法和支持向量机的轨道质量指标预测模型
近年来,现代有轨电车发展迅速。为了保证有轨电车的长期稳定、安全运行,预测相关运行线路的整体状况,指导轨道维修变得越来越重要。然而,由于数据挖掘和分析技术的限制,现代有轨电车轨道检测数据的分析和应用水平以及对轨道整体状况的预测水平在国内相对落后。本文在分析轨道质量指数(TQI)路段原始轨道检测几何参数的基础上,提出了一套基于改进向量机(SVM)的整体态势预测模型,实现了对TQI变化的分析与预测。同时,该预测模型可以为现代有轨电车的整体状况提供一种新的评价思路。
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