A Study on the Non-performing Loans Market in China

Yue Zhong
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Abstract

In 2008, the subprime mortgage market in the US collapsed as a result of falling housing prices, and kicked start a global financial crisis. Growing at a fast rate, the subprime mortgage market had accumulated a high level of risks before its collapse. In the post-global crisis period, the non-performing loans (NPLs) market in China experienced similar growth, leading to concerns of potential failure. This paper, with reference to the US subprime market in the 2000s, develops an explanation of the risks related to the Chinese NPLs market, by identifying the trend and the causes of the growth. This paper then evaluates the corresponding prevention measures in terms of corporate governance and government regulations. The findings of this research suggest that the risks in the Chinese NPLs market will remain at a controllable level, while further measures are required to make the market vibrant.
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中国不良贷款市场研究
2008年,由于房价下跌,美国次级抵押贷款市场崩溃,引发了一场全球金融危机。快速增长的次级抵押贷款市场在崩溃之前已经积累了很高的风险。在后全球金融危机时期,中国的不良贷款市场也经历了类似的增长,引发了对潜在破产的担忧。本文以2000年代的美国次贷市场为背景,通过分析中国不良贷款市场增长的趋势和原因,对中国不良贷款市场的风险进行了解释。然后从公司治理和政府监管两个方面对相应的防范措施进行了评价。研究结果表明,中国不良贷款市场的风险将保持在可控水平,但需要进一步采取措施使市场充满活力。
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