Life Assessment of Transmission Line Using Historical Health Index

C. Suwanasri, Ittiphong Yongyee, T. Suwanasri
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Abstract

In this paper, the lifetime of transmission line is estimated by using actual health index (HI) and normal distribution technique. The health index of transmission lines is assessed by using actual technical data, practical testing and visual inspection results. The weighting and scoring method as well as analytical hierarchy process are applied to this assessment. The %HIs are used to determine % HI -curve by applying normal distribution technique while the aging-curve is determined by applying Gompertz-Makeham law of mortality. Both curves are matched to determine the estimated age according to the calculated %HI at individual probability of failure. Forty transmission lines in 115, 230, and 500 kV networks with actual data are performed in this assessment resulting to a proper maintenance planning and risk mitigation.
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基于历史健康指数的输电线路寿命评估
本文采用实际健康指数法和正态分布法对输电线路的寿命进行了估计。采用实际技术数据、实际试验和目测结果对输电线路的健康指标进行了评价。采用了加权计分法和层次分析法进行评价。%HI曲线采用正态分布法确定,老化曲线采用Gompertz-Makeham死亡率定律确定。将两条曲线进行匹配,根据计算出的在单个失效概率下的百分比HI来确定估计的年龄。在本次评估中,对115、230和500千伏网络中的40条输电线路进行了实际数据分析,得出了适当的维护计划和风险降低。
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