Determinants of Emerging Capital Markets Development: A Case of Dar Es Salaam Stock Exchange

Abstract

This study aims to assess determinants of emerging capital markets development with particular reference to Dar es Salaam Stock Exchange (DSE). Specifically, the study aimed to analyze influence of legal and institutional framework, influence of political and macroeconomic stability and effects of broadening the investors’ base on capital markets development. The study employed time series research design. Data from statistical observations were recorded in a duration of 10 years (2011-202) on capital market development in relation to macroeconomic factors including liquidity in the stock market, investment, banking sector expansion and foreign direct investment. The regression findings correspondingly showed that the multiple determination coefficient R2 is 0.9272. The result showed that the exogenous variables (INTR, INFL, EXCHR, NINFA and LFW) are explained by 92.72% of the variations in dependent variable (CMD) while remaining 7.28 % are attributed to other factors not considered in the model are to blame. In addition, Durbin Watson (DW) statistics of 1 were disclosed in the results. The study recommends that small and medium businesses, which play a significant role in Tanzania's economy, should also be encouraged to engage in the stock market. A systematic and comprehensive investment promotion and facilitation plan that suits Tanzania's interests is required. Savings habit must be encouraged in the country by government policies that favour it. Also, as a country attracts foreign investment, more jobs become available, and individuals have more money to save. In addition, foreign direct investment adds management and technology transfer capabilities.