How Mortgage Interest Rates and Salaries Affect the Mortgage Debt

S. Todorova, Dimitria Karadimova
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Abstract

This paper explores the relationship between household mortgage debt and mortgage interest rate and salary in Bulgaria. The monthly data in this research paper is from January 2007 to June 2020, from existing official sources - NSI (National Statistical Institute) and BNB (Bulgarian National Bank). The chosen initial period is related to the beginning of the Monetary Board and the macroeconomic stability of the country after the Board. The research methodology includes correlation, regression analysis and related tests of statistical hypotheses. Based on the results, we derive the estimated regression equation that can be used to explain the impact of changes in independent variables on the dependent variable and to make predictions. We found that mortgage debt is positively associated with salary and negatively associated with mortgage interest rate.
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按揭利率及薪金如何影响按揭债务
本文探讨了保加利亚家庭抵押贷款债务与抵押贷款利率和工资之间的关系。本研究论文中的月度数据是从2007年1月至2020年6月,来自现有的官方来源- NSI(国家统计局)和BNB(保加利亚国家银行)。所选择的初始时期与货币委员会的开始以及该委员会成立后该国的宏观经济稳定性有关。研究方法包括相关分析、回归分析和统计假设的相关检验。根据结果,我们推导出估计回归方程,可以用来解释自变量变化对因变量的影响,并进行预测。我们发现抵押贷款债务与工资呈正相关,与抵押贷款利率负相关。
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