An AQI Level Forecasting Model Using Chi-square Test and BP Neural Network

Haiyao Wang, Jingyang Wang, Xiaohong Wang
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引用次数: 5

Abstract

Along with the development of the industrialization, the pollution becomes more and more serious. Many cities are often shrouded in a pollution haze, which threatens seriously the health of the people. Therefore, it is very necessary to establish a scientific and effective air quality forecast model. In this paper, an AQI level forecasting model using chi-square test and BP neural network is established. The model is based on the monitoring data of air pollution obtained from Shijiazhuang air quality monitoring stations. Firstly the model uses chi-square test method to determine the influence factors. Secondly it uses these influence factors data to train the neural network. Finally, the test of the forecasting model is evaluated. The results show that: The AQI level forecasting model has higher forecasting accuracy, it improves the effectiveness and practicability, and can provide more reliable decision evidence for environmental protection departments.
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基于卡方检验和BP神经网络的AQI水平预测模型
随着工业化的发展,污染变得越来越严重。许多城市经常笼罩在污染的雾霾中,这严重威胁着人们的健康。因此,建立科学有效的空气质量预报模型是十分必要的。本文利用卡方检验和BP神经网络建立了AQI水平预测模型。该模型基于石家庄市空气质量监测站大气污染监测数据。首先,模型采用卡方检验方法确定影响因素。然后利用这些影响因素数据对神经网络进行训练。最后对预测模型的检验结果进行了评价。结果表明:AQI等级预测模型具有较高的预测精度,提高了预测的有效性和实用性,可为环保部门提供更可靠的决策依据。
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