The Passing Pandemic? Perspective and Projections for COVID-19

N. V
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Abstract

Impact of Pandemic on Realms of Human Life: It is hard to imagine a worse pandemic than COVID-19 which has affected not only health but every realm of human life, being the most disruptive pandemic in modern times.In fact, the pandemic seems like a singular, once-in-a-lifetime event, and ongoing with no definite end in sight. As such, greater protective measures are needed to fight off the highly contagious variants and develop more effective therapeutic modalities to improve the disease outcomes. Research, Rationality and Mass Hysteria: Fundamentally, the viruses outnumber all the members of animal and plant kingdom including bacteria. The public-health measures are age-old and general rather than specific and aimed initially at stemming the tide of the novel virus and have been applied including avoiding close and non-ventilated spaces. COVID-19 is not the deadliest pandemic, HIV has killed more people than SARS-CoV-2, yet the pandemic is accompanied by a mass hysteria. The Mutagenesis and Emerging Variants: SARS-CoV-2 has a steady rate of mutations and accumulates mutations over time. The evolving variants affect the transmissibility, disease severity, immune response, and resultant immunity. The emerging variants have either replaced the previous ones or de-escalated depending on their properties. A number of variants are associated with immune escape. The variants pose a challenge for preventive measures including the vaccination and therapeutics. Omicron: Priming for Immunity or Disaster: The omicron variant (B.1.1.529) was first reported from African continent and later spread to various geographical regions. It has been held a benign variant with an increased transmissibility, reduced disease severity, and ability to generate a potent immunity. As a matter of caution, the fast-spreading Omicron sand its subvariant, BA.2 with their unexplored impact on immune system may be priming the population groups for infection with deadlier variants. Conclusion: Dealing With the Challenges: For COVID-19, the immunity following infection or vaccination is variable and short-lived, as it declines over time. Presently, with evolving variants including Omicron and BA.2 and recurrent outbreaks, the challenge posed by the pandemic is not over. In fact, the end of the pandemic is not a discrete event like conclusion of a war but a gradual process in which with herd immunity and the virus becoming less morbid and lethal, the disease deescalates to endemic form.
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转瞬即逝的流行病?2019冠状病毒病的前景和预测
大流行对人类生活领域的影响:很难想象有比COVID-19更糟糕的大流行,它不仅影响健康,而且影响人类生活的各个领域,是现代最具破坏性的大流行。事实上,这场大流行似乎是一个罕见的、一生只有一次的事件,而且还在继续,看不到明确的结束。因此,需要采取更大的保护措施来抵御高传染性变异,并开发更有效的治疗方式来改善疾病结果。研究、理性和集体歇斯底里:从根本上说,病毒的数量超过了包括细菌在内的动植物界的所有成员。这些公共卫生措施由来已久,是一般性的,而不是具体的,最初的目的是遏制这种新型病毒的蔓延,已经实施的措施包括避免在封闭和不通风的空间。COVID-19并不是最致命的大流行病,艾滋病毒导致的死亡人数超过了SARS-CoV-2,但大流行伴随着大规模歇斯底里。突变和新出现的变体:SARS-CoV-2具有稳定的突变率,并随着时间的推移积累突变。进化的变异影响传播性、疾病严重程度、免疫反应和由此产生的免疫力。新出现的变种要么取代了以前的变种,要么根据它们的属性降级。许多变异与免疫逃逸有关。这些变异对包括疫苗接种和治疗在内的预防措施构成挑战。Omicron:启动免疫或灾难:Omicron变体(B.1.1.529)首先报告来自非洲大陆,后来传播到各个地理区域。它一直被认为是一种良性变异,具有增加的传播性,降低疾病严重程度,并能够产生强大的免疫力。作为一个谨慎的问题,快速传播的欧米克隆及其亚变体BA.2对免疫系统的影响尚未被发现,可能会使人群感染更致命的变体。结论:应对挑战:对于COVID-19,感染或接种疫苗后的免疫力是可变的和短暂的,因为它会随着时间的推移而下降。目前,随着包括Omicron和BA.2在内的变异和反复暴发的出现,大流行带来的挑战尚未结束。事实上,大流行的结束不是像战争结束那样的离散事件,而是一个渐进的过程,在这个过程中,随着群体免疫和病毒变得不那么病态和致命,疾病逐渐降级为地方性疾病。
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