The State and COVID-19 Economic Recovery Strategy in Nigeria

A. Ajah, Edith Uwajumogu C.
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Abstract

Beyond the untold health challenges, the COVID-19 pandemic brought significant economic disruption; inducing one of the worst global recessions since World War II. However, while studies have explored the socio-economic and health implications of the pandemic; including governments’ social protection responses through relief packages, extant literature has glossed over the Nigerian COVID-19 economic recovery strategy. Anchoring on the Rentier State Theory and Qual-dominant approach, this study examines the nature and trajectory of the Nigeria economic recovery strategy in the shock of COVID-19 recession. It found that despite the vulnerability of an oil-dependent economy as was exposed by the COVID-19 lockdowns, the Nigerian economic recovery and sustainability Plan 2020 to 2025 still rely on oil rents. Thus, the study concludes that without the development and expansion of domestic manufacturing through science and technology, the Nigerian economy is unlikely to survive future economic shocks. Therefore, the study recommends that to ensure sustainable economic growth and development, the domestic and home-grown industries should be expanded and sustained to drive the Nigerian economy.
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尼日利亚国家和2019冠状病毒病经济复苏战略
除了难以形容的卫生挑战之外,2019冠状病毒病大流行还带来了严重的经济中断;引发了二战以来最严重的全球经济衰退之一。然而,虽然研究探讨了该流行病的社会经济和健康影响;包括政府通过一揽子救济计划采取的社会保护措施在内,现有文献都掩盖了尼日利亚应对COVID-19的经济复苏战略。本研究以食利者国家理论和质量主导方法为基础,考察了在2019冠状病毒病经济衰退冲击下尼日利亚经济复苏战略的性质和轨迹。报告发现,尽管COVID-19封锁暴露了依赖石油的经济的脆弱性,但尼日利亚的经济复苏和2020年至2025年的可持续性计划仍然依赖石油租金。因此,该研究得出结论,如果没有通过科学技术发展和扩大国内制造业,尼日利亚经济不太可能在未来的经济冲击中生存下来。因此,研究建议,为了确保经济的可持续增长和发展,应该扩大和持续发展国内和本土产业,以推动尼日利亚经济。
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