Reliability Analysis of Power Grid Security and Stability Control System under Dual Carbon Background

Mengyu Liu
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Abstract

Under the "dual-carbon" target vision, the construction of a new power system with a gradually increasing proportion of new energy has become a major direction. In the process of the continuous development of the power system, the new energy has the characteristics of large volatility and strong randomness, so it is necessary to constantly improve the regulation capacity of the power grid to ensure the stability of the power system. In this paper, the hardware reliability of the security and stability control system is detected by quantitative calculation. Based on two different operation modes of "one out of two" and "two out of two", we use Markov state-space method to calculate the rejection probability respectively, with the ratio of the device repair rate and the fault rate being the parameters. The calculation results are used to analyze the stability of the system, which guarantees the stable operation of the power grid.
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双碳背景下电网安全稳定控制系统可靠性分析
在“双碳”目标愿景下,构建新能源比重逐步提高的新型电力体系成为一大方向。在电力系统不断发展的过程中,新能源具有波动性大、随机性强的特点,因此需要不断提高电网的调节能力,以保证电力系统的稳定运行。本文通过定量计算对安全稳定控制系统的硬件可靠性进行了检测。基于“二选一”和“二选二”两种不同的运行模式,分别采用马尔可夫状态空间方法,以设备返修率和故障率的比值为参数,计算出拒绝概率。计算结果用于分析系统的稳定性,保证了电网的稳定运行。
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