The Influence of Banking Risk on Efficiency: The Moderating Role of Inflation Rate

Amalia Ilmiani, M. Meliza
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Abstract

The increasing business activities of state-owned banks in Indonesia increases risks. This circumstance can impact the level of state-owned banks’ efficiency. Thus, this research analyses the influence of banking risks on the state-owned banks’ efficiency in Indonesia from 2016 to 2019. Moreover, inflation as one of the macroeconomic factors may also affect the relationship between banking risks and efficiency; hence, this research also examines the inflation role as a moderating variable of this relationship. The samples of this research are all state-owned banks in Indonesia. Ordinary Least Squares (OLS) regression analysis shows that liquidity risk and credit risk have positive and significant influences on efficiency. However, inflation as a moderating variable has no significant influence on efficiency. Inflation also fails to moderate the relationship between liquidity risk and efficiency of state-owned banks in Indonesia. Nevertheless, inflation successful moderates the relationship between credit risk and efficiency.
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银行风险对效率的影响:通货膨胀率的调节作用
印尼国有银行业务活动的增加增加了风险。这种情况会影响国有银行的效率水平。因此,本研究分析了2016 - 2019年印尼银行风险对国有银行效率的影响。此外,通货膨胀作为宏观经济因素之一也可能影响银行风险与效率的关系;因此,本研究还考察了通货膨胀作为这种关系的调节变量的作用。本研究的样本均为印尼国有银行。普通最小二乘(OLS)回归分析表明,流动性风险和信用风险对效率有显著的正向影响。然而,通货膨胀作为调节变量对效率没有显著影响。通货膨胀也未能缓和印尼国有银行流动性风险与效率之间的关系。然而,成功的通货膨胀缓和了信贷风险与效率之间的关系。
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