TRANSITION WIND TECHNOLOGIES IN SHIPPING TO 2050: FACTORS AND CHALLENGES FOR A SUSTAINABILITY TRANSITION

J. Köhler, E. Dönitz Fraunhofer, F. Schätter
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Abstract

This paper presents a scenario for a transition to low carbon shipping. It combined a structured scenario process and simulations with the MATISSE-SHIP model to develop consistent qualitative and quantiative scenarios, agreed with sector experts. The IMO decides a binding target to reduce GHG emissions by 90 % by 2050. The use of LCF technologies for shipping, such as PtL/PtG, H2 fuel cells, and wind technologies, becomes the state of the art. Rapid action is required by the shipping sector. If society is willing to prioritise reduction of climate change, new operational patterns in shipping are possible. This behavioural change needs to be supported by strong climate policy to force the rapid development and adoption of wind and other low carbon technologies.
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到2050年的航运风能技术转型:可持续转型的因素和挑战
本文提出了向低碳航运过渡的设想。它将结构化的情景过程和模拟与MATISSE-SHIP模型相结合,以开发一致的定性和定量情景,得到了部门专家的同意。国际海事组织决定到2050年将温室气体排放量减少90%的约束性目标。在航运中使用LCF技术,如PtL/PtG、H2燃料电池和风能技术,已成为最先进的技术。航运部门需要迅速采取行动。如果社会愿意优先考虑减少气候变化,新的航运运营模式是可能的。这种行为改变需要强有力的气候政策的支持,以迫使风能和其他低碳技术的快速发展和采用。
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