The Role of Detection Rate in MAPE to Improve Measurement Accuracy for Predicting FinTech Data in Various Regressions

Al-Khowarizmi, S. Efendi, M. K. Nasution, Mawengkang Herman
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Abstract

Prediction is included in the data mining process to predict future data based on learning from past data. Various techniques are used in making predictions. The Regression method also includes techniques for making predictions. Various regressions such as Linear Regression, Ridge Regression, Lasso Regression, and Multivariate Adaptive Regression Splines (MARS) are regression techniques that are fond of being used in predicting data in business. Every prediction is always measured success with several formulations. As MAPE is a measuring tool in obtaining accuracy, so it is trying to be designed with the role of Detection Rate (DR) in order to get a smaller error value in obtaining accuracy. In this paper, the process of obtaining accuracy in Linear Regression is carried out to obtain a MAPE of 0.15874361801345002 % and the role of DR in MAPE is 0.1410249900632677 %. At Ridge Regression get a MAPE of 0.15820461185453846 % and the role of DR in MAPE is 0.14077739389387 %. On Lasso Regression get a MAPE of 0.14793925681569248 % and the role of DR in MAPE is 0.1370143839961479 %. On MARS get a MAPE of 0.16209808399129746 % and the role of DR in MAPE is 0.14528079908718253 %.
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检测率在MAPE中的作用,以提高各种回归预测金融科技数据的测量精度
预测包含在数据挖掘过程中,通过对过去数据的学习来预测未来的数据。在进行预测时使用了各种技术。回归方法还包括进行预测的技术。各种回归,如线性回归、Ridge回归、Lasso回归和多元自适应样条回归(MARS)都是喜欢用于预测业务数据的回归技术。每一个预测总是用几个公式来衡量成功。由于MAPE是一种获取精度的测量工具,因此试图将其设计为具有检出率(Detection Rate, DR)的作用,以便在获取精度时获得较小的误差值。本文通过线性回归获得精度的过程,得到MAPE为0.15874361801345002%,DR在MAPE中的作用为0.1410249900632677%。在Ridge回归中得到MAPE为0.15820461185453846%,DR在MAPE中的作用为0.14077739389387%。Lasso回归得到MAPE为0.14793925681569248%,DR在MAPE中的作用为0.1370143839961479%。在火星上,MAPE为0.16209808399129746%,DR在MAPE中的作用为0.14528079908718253 %。
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