Short-term load forecasting using a fuzzy engineering tool

G. Lambert-Torres, C.O. Traore, F. Mandolesi, D. Mukhedkar
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引用次数: 11

Abstract

The authors describe a knowledge engineering tool for short-term load forecasting to be used as an aid in operation and planning of distribution systems. This engineering tool is composed by two parts. Firstly, an artificial neural network is trained to produce the first evaluation of forecasted load. Following, a fuzzy expert system manipulate actual and forecasted values of real power and weather conditions to find the final forecasted load. Illustrative examples are presented using Hydro-Quebec Power System data.<>
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利用模糊工程工具进行短期负荷预测
作者描述了一种用于短期负荷预测的知识工程工具,用于辅助配电系统的运行和规划。本工程工具由两部分组成。首先,对人工神经网络进行训练,产生预测负荷的第一次评估。然后,模糊专家系统对实际功率和天气条件的实际值和预测值进行处理,得出最终的预测负荷。用魁北克水电系统的数据作了举例说明。
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