World Economy while Second Bretton Woods Declines and Evaluation on Developing Countries

M. Şi̇şman
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引用次数: 1

Abstract

This work is aiming primarily at discussing the thesis that the search for new currency systems in World Economy is not the reason but the result of production crisis. The approach initiated with the three works of Michael Dooley, David Folkerts-Landau and Peter Garber which are carried out since 2003, i.e. the development of “2nd Bretton Woods” monetary system, and proposals of Eichengreen, Goldstein, Kamin, McKinnon, Obstfeld, Roubini, Truman and Stiglitz, who participated in this development with their works, will be examined within the thesis in question. Mainly, the effects of these discussions to the developing countries and Economy of Turkey will be focused on. Considering that the world trade volume and movements of currency determines the type of industrialization in developing countries, labor markets and the relation between sectoral structures in developing countries and foreign capital will be discussed by proceeding from the studies which are carried out by transnational foundations such as IMF, World Bank, Unido, OECD and UNCTAD. For instance, we have to opportunity to explain, why in spite of its current accounts deficit China does not want to reduce U.S. dollars/Yuan parity to its real value and why in spite of extraordinary current accounts deficit the U.S. dollars/YTL parity in Turkey does not rise to its real value, in terms of trade and capital flows. It is not possible to say that the factors increasing and maintaining capital flows are different from the production types and industrialization periods. Therefore, we think that we can understand world monetary system or unsystematicness of it better by looking to real indicators behind interest rate parameter….
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第二次布雷顿森林体系衰落中的世界经济及对发展中国家的评价
本文的主要目的是探讨在世界经济中寻找新的货币体系不是生产危机的原因,而是生产危机的结果。Michael Dooley, David Folkerts-Landau和Peter Garber自2003年以来开展的三部作品,即“第二布雷顿森林”货币体系的发展,以及参与这一发展的Eichengreen, Goldstein, Kamin, McKinnon, Obstfeld, Roubini, Truman和Stiglitz的建议,将在本文中进行研究。主要集中讨论这些讨论对发展中国家和土耳其经济的影响。考虑到世界贸易量和货币流动决定发展中国家的工业化类型,将从诸如货币基金组织、世界银行、工发组织、经合发组织和贸发会议等跨国基金会所进行的研究出发,讨论劳工市场和发展中国家部门结构与外国资本之间的关系。例如,我们必须有机会解释,为什么尽管有经常账户赤字,中国不希望将美元/人民币平价降低到其实际价值,为什么尽管有特别的经常账户赤字,美元/土耳其里拉平价在贸易和资本流动方面没有上升到其实际价值。不能说增加和维持资本流动的因素不同于生产类型和工业化时期。因此,我们认为通过利率参数背后的真实指标....可以更好地理解世界货币体系或其非系统性
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