Methodology for Calculating Indicators of Reliability of Power Supply, Taking Into Account Seasonality

A. Vinogradova, A. Vinogradov
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Abstract

It was revealed that emergency and planned outages in electrical networks are seasonal in nature by months of the year and time of day. Information about the methods for calculating the indicators of reliability of power supply to rural consumers is given and their analysis is performed. It is shown that the existing methods do not allow for a differentiated calculation of reliability indicators depending on the season of the year and the time of day. A methodology has been developed for calculating these indicators, taking into account seasonality by months and time of day, which makes it possible to obtain the probability of failure-free operation for emergency and planned outages, taking into account the corresponding seasonality coefficients.
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考虑季节性因素的供电可靠性指标计算方法
据透露,电网的紧急停电和计划停电在一年中的几个月和一天中的不同时间具有季节性。介绍了农村供电可靠性指标的计算方法,并对其进行了分析。结果表明,现有方法不允许根据一年中的季节和一天中的时间对可靠性指标进行差异化计算。已经制定了一种计算这些指标的方法,考虑到按月和一天中的时间的季节性,从而可以在考虑到相应的季节性系数的情况下,获得紧急情况和计划停电时无故障运行的概率。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
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