The Myth of the Disappearing Business Bankruptcy

Robert M. Lawless, E. Warren
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引用次数: 53

Abstract

Although data from the Administrative Office (AO) of the U.S. Courts suggest that only a small fraction of the 1.6 million bankruptcies filed each year are business failures, new research from the Consumer Bankruptcy Project reveals that roughly 17 percent of bankruptcy filings involve the failure of a business. First, the AO's count of the number of business bankruptcy filings is discussed in light of figures from datasets that directly contradict the AO data. It is then argued that attorneys' tendency to misclassify bankruptcy cases filed with automated form software systematically skews the AO data so that fewer cases are reported than actually exist. Data gathered from a 2001 survey of 1,771 Chapter 7 and Chapter 13 filers, 911 of whom were interviewed by telephone, suggest that AO figures vastly undercount the percentage of bankruptcy filers with a failed business. In fact, nearly 99 percent of the debtors in the survey sample who were identified as business owners appeared in the AO data as non-business cases. An apparent downward trend in business bankruptcies in recent years appears to be inaccurate. It is noted that the tremendous inaccuracy of the government's data on business bankruptcies has implications for bankruptcy policy and legislation.
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消失的商业破产神话
尽管美国法院行政办公室(AO)的数据表明,每年160万宗破产申请中只有一小部分是商业失败,但消费者破产项目的新研究显示,大约17%的破产申请涉及商业失败。首先,根据与AO数据直接矛盾的数据集数据,讨论了AO对企业破产申请数量的统计。然后有人认为,律师倾向于用自动表格软件对破产案件进行错误分类,系统地扭曲了AO数据,因此报告的案件比实际存在的案件少。2001年对1771名破产法第7章和第13章的申请人进行了调查,其中911人接受了电话采访。调查数据显示,破产法的数字大大低估了破产申请人的企业倒闭比例。事实上,在调查样本中,近99%被确定为企业主的债务人在AO数据中显示为非商业案例。近年来企业破产的明显下降趋势似乎是不准确的。值得注意的是,政府关于企业破产的数据极其不准确,这对破产政策和立法产生了影响。
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