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Assessing Risk and Return: Personalized Medicine Development & New Innovation Paradigm 风险与回报评估:个体化医疗发展与创新范式
Pub Date : 2008-10-01 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.1295507
F. Douglas, Lesa Mitchell
In making a credible business case for investors and industry stakeholders to view personalized medicine as a viable business model, we not only must create excitement in the promise of personalized medicine, but also must find viable alternatives in addressing the barriers or risks surrounding the biomedical discovery and development models of today. Some of the risks we identify include IP issues, difficulties in validating targets, ability to rapidly achieve proof of concept, navigating the famed "Valley of Death," and inefficiencies in the current clinical development process, as well as the need for new industry business models that predict an attractive return on investment. In this paper; however, we limit our discussion to the potential for personalized medicine to create efficiencies in the preclinical and clinical phases of drug innovation and generate economic returns. We also introduce unique industry collaboration mechanisms with nonprofit disease-focused organizations that serve an important role in de-risking aspects of drug discovery and clinical development in their respective disease sectors, as well as bridging early-stage funding needs. These collaborations and de-risking strategies could provide an important model for the further development and growth of the personalized medicine sector. With respect to definition, we shall use the more general term "stratified medicine," of which personalized medicine is the individualized member of a spectrum that includes empirical medicine, stratified medicine, and personalized medicine. In the latter two, a biomarker is critical in identifying sub-populations or strata of patients that can benefit from a therapeutic intervention that is related to that biomarker, or develops a therapy that specifically benefits an individual who possesses that biomarker. A biomarker also may identify strata of patients that might be susceptible to side effects from a particular therapy.
为了让投资者和行业利益相关者相信个性化医疗是一种可行的商业模式,我们不仅要让人们对个性化医疗的前景感到兴奋,还必须找到可行的替代方案,以解决当今生物医学发现和开发模式的障碍或风险。我们发现的一些风险包括知识产权问题、验证目标的困难、快速实现概念验证的能力、穿越著名的“死亡之谷”的能力、当前临床开发过程中的低效率,以及对预测有吸引力的投资回报的新行业商业模式的需求。在本文中;然而,我们的讨论仅限于个性化医疗在药物创新的临床前和临床阶段创造效率并产生经济回报的潜力。我们还与以疾病为重点的非营利组织建立了独特的行业合作机制,这些组织在各自疾病领域的药物发现和临床开发的降低风险方面发挥了重要作用,并弥合了早期的资金需求。这些合作和降低风险战略可以为个性化医疗部门的进一步发展和增长提供一个重要的模式。在定义方面,我们将使用更通用的术语“分层医学”,其中个性化医学是包括经验医学、分层医学和个性化医学在内的光谱中的个性化成员。在后两种情况下,生物标志物对于识别亚群体或患者阶层至关重要,这些患者可以从与该生物标志物相关的治疗干预中受益,或者开发一种专门有益于拥有该生物标志物的个体的治疗。生物标志物还可以识别可能易受特定治疗副作用影响的患者阶层。
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引用次数: 1
The Myth of the Disappearing Business Bankruptcy 消失的商业破产神话
Pub Date : 2005-05-01 DOI: 10.15779/Z384X5Q
Robert M. Lawless, E. Warren
Although data from the Administrative Office (AO) of the U.S. Courts suggest that only a small fraction of the 1.6 million bankruptcies filed each year are business failures, new research from the Consumer Bankruptcy Project reveals that roughly 17 percent of bankruptcy filings involve the failure of a business. First, the AO's count of the number of business bankruptcy filings is discussed in light of figures from datasets that directly contradict the AO data. It is then argued that attorneys' tendency to misclassify bankruptcy cases filed with automated form software systematically skews the AO data so that fewer cases are reported than actually exist. Data gathered from a 2001 survey of 1,771 Chapter 7 and Chapter 13 filers, 911 of whom were interviewed by telephone, suggest that AO figures vastly undercount the percentage of bankruptcy filers with a failed business. In fact, nearly 99 percent of the debtors in the survey sample who were identified as business owners appeared in the AO data as non-business cases. An apparent downward trend in business bankruptcies in recent years appears to be inaccurate. It is noted that the tremendous inaccuracy of the government's data on business bankruptcies has implications for bankruptcy policy and legislation.
尽管美国法院行政办公室(AO)的数据表明,每年160万宗破产申请中只有一小部分是商业失败,但消费者破产项目的新研究显示,大约17%的破产申请涉及商业失败。首先,根据与AO数据直接矛盾的数据集数据,讨论了AO对企业破产申请数量的统计。然后有人认为,律师倾向于用自动表格软件对破产案件进行错误分类,系统地扭曲了AO数据,因此报告的案件比实际存在的案件少。2001年对1771名破产法第7章和第13章的申请人进行了调查,其中911人接受了电话采访。调查数据显示,破产法的数字大大低估了破产申请人的企业倒闭比例。事实上,在调查样本中,近99%被确定为企业主的债务人在AO数据中显示为非商业案例。近年来企业破产的明显下降趋势似乎是不准确的。值得注意的是,政府关于企业破产的数据极其不准确,这对破产政策和立法产生了影响。
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引用次数: 53
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Kauffman: Other (Topic)
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