Safety Resilience Evaluation of Urban Public Bus Based on Comprehensive Weighting Method and Fuzzy Comprehensive Evaluation Method

Jiao Sun, Shida Liu, Li Wang, Zhonghe He
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引用次数: 3

Abstract

In this paper, a novel concept of resilience measuring the urban bus transport safety was proposed based on a new urban bus route resilience evaluation system (UBRRES). In UBRRES, the preliminary evaluation framework and its main indicators were firstly determined by combining a novel systematic review of the literature (SLR) method and the expert advices. Then, under this framework, a comprehensive weighting method (CWM), which combined the idea of analytic hierarchy process (AHP) method and entropy evaluation method (EVM), was proposed to calculate the weights of the indicators. Consequently, a macroevaluation model was established. Based on this model, a fuzzy comprehensive evaluation (FCE) method was applied to obtain the resilience scores. Finally, the proposed UBRRES method was applied in the actual 663 bus line across the Fengtai and Shijingshan district, Beijing, China, by which the applicability of UBRRES was verified.
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基于综合加权法和模糊综合评价法的城市公交安全弹性评价
本文基于城市公交线路弹性评价系统(UBRRES),提出了城市公交线路弹性评价的新概念。在UBRRES中,首先采用新颖的文献系统回顾法(SLR)和专家意见相结合的方法确定了初步评价框架和主要指标。然后,在此框架下,结合层次分析法(AHP)和熵值评价法(EVM)的思想,提出了综合赋权法(CWM)来计算各指标的权重。据此,建立了宏观评价模型。在此模型的基础上,应用模糊综合评判法(FCE)获得弹性评分。最后,将所提出的UBRRES方法应用于北京市丰台区至石景山区663公交线路的实际运行中,验证了UBRRES方法的适用性。
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