Impact of Demonetization Process on the Performance of Nifty

Mohd Shamim
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Abstract

This paper investigates the impact of demonetization process on the performance of Nifty 50 and its Sectorial Indices. The study uses data of closing prices from 28 June 2016 up to 20 March 2017. The study employs descriptive statistics, paired sample T test and ANOVA to evaluate the impact of demonetization process on the performance of Nifty 50 and its Sectorial Indices. It has found that there is statistical significance at the level of 5% that Nifty 50 dropped after the demonetization event as compared to the pre demonetization event. Further, the results reveal that most of Sectorial Indices of Nifty 50 sloped downward post demonetization event and the significance of the statistical results are varied from one sector to another. It is recommended that periodic review of the policy should be made to iron out the negative impacts of demonetization. Also, it is imperative to evaluate the impact of demonetization on the short, medium, and long run to avoid any grey areas for any future policy regarding cashless economy or demonetization.
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废钞过程对Nifty业绩的影响
本文研究了废钞进程对Nifty 50指数及其行业指数的影响。该研究使用了2016年6月28日至2017年3月20日的收盘价数据。本研究采用描述性统计、配对样本T检验和方差分析来评估废钞进程对Nifty 50及其行业指数表现的影响。它发现,与非货币化事件前相比,在非货币化事件发生后,Nifty 50下降了5%的统计显著性水平。此外,结果显示,Nifty 50的大多数行业指数在废钞事件后向下倾斜,统计结果的显著性因行业而异。建议对政策进行定期审查,以消除废钞运动的负面影响。此外,必须评估废钞对短期、中期和长期的影响,以避免未来任何关于无现金经济或废钞政策的灰色地带。
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