Corporate Payout Policy and Credit Risk: Evidence from CDS Markets

Chengzhu Sun, Shujing Wang, Chu Zhang
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引用次数: 3

Abstract

We examine whether and how payout policy affects credit risk using evidence from the credit default swap (CDS) market. CDS spreads increase substantially in response to announcements of dividend cuts, especially during recessions and among firms experiencing financial distress. CDS spreads also react more strongly to permanent and less anticipated dividend cuts. The size of CDS reaction is more pronounced for financial firms, which are inherently more opaque. In contrast, CDS spreads react weakly to dividend raises and share repurchases. The results show that the information effect of dividend changes dominates the wealth transfer effect.
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公司派息政策与信用风险:来自CDS市场的证据
我们使用信用违约互换(CDS)市场的证据来检验支付政策是否以及如何影响信用风险。当宣布削减股息时,CDS价差会大幅增加,尤其是在经济衰退期间和经历财务困境的公司之间。CDS息差对永久性且预期较低的股息削减反应更为强烈。对金融公司而言,CDS反应的规模更为明显,因为金融公司本身就更不透明。相比之下,CDS息差对股息上调和股票回购的反应较弱。结果表明,股利变动的信息效应支配着财富转移效应。
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