An Inefficacious Shock Therapy?: A Critical Analysis of Mongolian Neoliberal Reforms

Zugeerbai Zul, Hyunwook Cheng
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Abstract

This research aims to critically review the development process and connotation of neoliberal reform in Mongolia, which has been implemented since 1991 under the International Monetary Fund’s (IMF) program. This paper outlines the historical context of the transition, the so-called shock therapy, and analyzes Mongolia’s economic performance and socioeconomic changes after neoliberal reform, particularly focusing on the free market monetary policy. The policy was a crucial turning point for Mongolia, in which neoliberalism almost eliminated the former socialist planned economy and took a dominant position in the Mongolian political economy. Over the past three decades, successive administrations have implemented various measures based on a free monetary policy promoted by the IMF to obtain foreign loans and aid. However, despite the long-term reforms, thorny issues, such as a sharp currency depreciation, soaring debts, unemployment, inflation, budget deficits, poverty, crime, and corruption, still remain unresolved. In short, Mongolia’s shock therapy transition appears to be inefficacious. The nation may need to develop policies that take into account the characteristics of their economy and are able to stabilize people’s livelihoods.
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休克疗法无效?蒙古新自由主义改革的批判性分析
本研究旨在批判性地回顾蒙古自1991年以来在国际货币基金组织(IMF)计划下实施的新自由主义改革的发展过程和内涵。本文概述了过渡的历史背景,即所谓的休克疗法,并分析了蒙古在新自由主义改革后的经济表现和社会经济变化,特别关注自由市场货币政策。该政策对蒙古来说是一个至关重要的转折点,新自由主义几乎消灭了以前的社会主义计划经济,并在蒙古政治经济中占据了主导地位。在过去的30年里,历届政府都以国际货币基金组织(IMF)倡导的自由货币政策为基础,实施了各种措施,以获得外国贷款和援助。然而,尽管进行了长期改革,但诸如货币大幅贬值、债务飙升、失业、通货膨胀、预算赤字、贫困、犯罪和腐败等棘手问题仍未得到解决。简而言之,蒙古的休克疗法似乎是无效的。国家可能需要制定考虑到其经济特点并能够稳定民生的政策。
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