Mechanical Analyses and Derivations of Money Velocity

Alessandro Saccal
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Abstract

Abstract. The equation of exchange is derived from a standpoint encompassing the physics and economics thereof, whereby the maximisation of a money value function, increasing in real output and decreasing in the real money supply, while accounting for time and space, subjected to a money constraint, at the macroeconomic level, gives rise to an optimal level of real output thereby, expressing the liquidity demand coefficient as the inverse quotient of space over time. The fusion of such a liquidity demand coefficient expression with the money constraint, which is the equilibrium Cambridge equation, in turn gives rise to an equation for space, being the position of money, whose differentiation is precisely instantaneous money velocity and thence the exchange equation as presented by Fisher. The present analysis also derives money position on account of non-constant instantaneous money velocity as instantiated by Fisher, advancing a framework for the macroeconomy’s general money value function and money constraint in the process. It likewise advances simulations of non-constant average and instantaneous money velocity, with a particular application to a stylised closed macroeconomy. It finally proceeds to remodel instantaneous money velocity through the use of ordinary differential equations (ODEs) for the money equations of motion, both generally, by letting the sum of the three equal a corrected exponential random walk with drift, and through a money force model, of free accumulation with financial assets resistance. This work thus remarks in sum that money velocity as customarily calculated, taught and understood is not univocal.
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货币流通速度的力学分析和推导
摘要交换方程是从包含物理和经济学的角度推导出来的,即货币价值函数的最大化,实际产出的增加和实际货币供给的减少,同时考虑到时间和空间,在宏观经济层面上,受到货币约束,从而产生最佳的实际产出水平,将流动性需求系数表示为空间随时间的逆商。将这样一个流动性需求系数表达式与货币约束(即均衡剑桥方程)融合,进而得到一个空间方程,即货币的位置,其微分正是瞬时货币速度,从而得到费雪提出的交换方程。本分析还推导了费雪实例中基于非恒定瞬时货币速度的货币头寸,提出了宏观经济中一般货币价值函数和货币约束的框架。它同样推进了非恒定平均和瞬时货币速度的模拟,并特别应用于程式化的封闭宏观经济。最后,通过使用货币运动方程的常微分方程(ode)来重新建模瞬时货币速度,一般来说,通过让三者的总和等于带有漂移的修正指数随机游走,以及通过货币力模型,具有金融资产阻力的自由积累。因此,这项工作总结说,通常计算、教授和理解的货币流通速度并不是单一的。
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