首页 > 最新文献

Journal of Mathematical Economics and Finance最新文献

英文 中文
A role for confidence: volition regimes and news 信心的作用:意志制度和新闻
Pub Date : 2023-06-30 DOI: 10.14505/jmef.v9.1(16).01
Alessandro Saccal
The economic literature presents a variety of empirical models of the structural impulse response function (SIRF) in real consumption and real output following changes in confidence or sentiment, particularly in the US and EA. This paper replicates them on the orbit of a neokeynesian dynamic stochastic general equilibrium (NK-DSGE) model characterized in particular by macroeconomic agents and derived from start to finish. Trust is specifically modeled as an endogenous variable characterized by a coalescence of three processes governed by a degree of volition, the processes being permanent technology, transient technology, and noise technology. The first two processes affect the actual production technology with a delay of one lag, while the third does not at all. The short-run responses to changes in confidence are shown whenever the degree of willingness allows confidence to change real consumption and aggregate labor, thus being non-negligible. Whenever the degree of volition was, by contrast, negligible, exogenous shocks in noise technology would cause no fluctuation in actual consumption and actual power.
经济学文献提出了各种关于信心或情绪变化后实际消费和实际产出的结构性脉冲响应函数(SIRF)的经验模型,特别是在美国和欧洲。本文在新凯恩斯主义动态随机一般均衡(NK-DSGE)模型的轨道上复制了它们,该模型特别以宏观经济主体为特征,并从头到尾推导出来。具体来说,信任被建模为一个内生变量,其特征是受一定程度的意志支配的三个过程的合并,这三个过程是永久技术、瞬态技术和噪声技术。前两个过程对实际生产技术的影响有一个滞后,而第三个过程则完全没有。当意愿程度允许信心改变实际消费和总劳动时,对信心变化的短期反应就会显示出来,因此不可忽略。相比之下,在意志程度可以忽略不计的情况下,噪声技术中的外生冲击不会引起实际用电量和实际功率的波动。
{"title":"A role for confidence: volition regimes and news","authors":"Alessandro Saccal","doi":"10.14505/jmef.v9.1(16).01","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.14505/jmef.v9.1(16).01","url":null,"abstract":"The economic literature presents a variety of empirical models of the structural impulse response function (SIRF) in real consumption and real output following changes in confidence or sentiment, particularly in the US and EA. This paper replicates them on the orbit of a neokeynesian dynamic stochastic general equilibrium (NK-DSGE) model characterized in particular by macroeconomic agents and derived from start to finish. Trust is specifically modeled as an endogenous variable characterized by a coalescence of three processes governed by a degree of volition, the processes being permanent technology, transient technology, and noise technology. The first two processes affect the actual production technology with a delay of one lag, while the third does not at all. The short-run responses to changes in confidence are shown whenever the degree of willingness allows confidence to change real consumption and aggregate labor, thus being non-negligible. Whenever the degree of volition was, by contrast, negligible, exogenous shocks in noise technology would cause no fluctuation in actual consumption and actual power.","PeriodicalId":367341,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Mathematical Economics and Finance","volume":"14 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2023-06-30","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"127287152","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
The Buckingham’s π Theorem: Consequences for the Price Theory 白金汉π定理:价格理论的结果
Pub Date : 2023-06-30 DOI: 10.14505/jmef.v9.1(16).02
G. Ganchev
The present article focuses on the possible interpretation of the pi theorem of physics in the field of the economics' general equilibrium analysis. The physical units of the exchanged goods are de ned as fundamental units and the neoclassical prices as dimensionless derived numbers. Thus, the general equilibrium does not need money metrics, unspeci ed money market and the complementing inappropriate incorporation of the Walras Law. Further, the main function of money is not that of a unit of account, but a means of exchange. If such type of a money market is introduced, the Walras symmetry holds but in the sense that the positive aggregate excess demand on the goods market matches the negative excess demand on the money market. Distinction is de ned between neoclassical, relative and monetary prices. Additional conditions must be met to allow for a closed monetary circulation.
本文主要讨论物理学中的π定理在经济学一般均衡分析领域的可能解释。交换商品的物理单位被设计为基本单位,新古典价格被设计为无量纲派生数。因此,一般均衡不需要货币指标、未指定的货币市场和不适当的瓦尔拉斯定律的补充。此外,货币的主要功能不是作为记账单位,而是作为交换手段。如果引入这种类型的货币市场,瓦尔拉斯对称成立,但在某种意义上,商品市场上的正总超额需求与货币市场上的负超额需求相匹配。新古典主义的相对价格和货币价格之间需要区分。必须满足其他条件才能实现封闭的货币流通。
{"title":"The Buckingham’s π Theorem: Consequences for the Price Theory","authors":"G. Ganchev","doi":"10.14505/jmef.v9.1(16).02","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.14505/jmef.v9.1(16).02","url":null,"abstract":"The present article focuses on the possible interpretation of the pi theorem of physics in the field of the economics' general equilibrium analysis. The physical units of the exchanged goods are de ned as fundamental units and the neoclassical prices as dimensionless derived numbers. Thus, the general equilibrium does not need money metrics, unspeci ed money market and the complementing inappropriate incorporation of the Walras Law. Further, the main function of money is not that of a unit of account, but a means of exchange. If such type of a money market is introduced, the Walras symmetry holds but in the sense that the positive aggregate excess demand on the goods market matches the negative excess demand on the money market. Distinction is de ned between neoclassical, relative and monetary prices. Additional conditions must be met to allow for a closed monetary circulation.","PeriodicalId":367341,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Mathematical Economics and Finance","volume":"31 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2023-06-30","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"115242939","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
In Search of A Giffen Input: A Comprehensive Analysis of The Wold-Juréen (1953) Production Function 在寻找一个给定的输入:对world - jur<s:1> en(1953)生产函数的综合分析
Pub Date : 2022-12-31 DOI: 10.14505/jmef.v8.2(15).03
R. Sproule
The Wold-Juréen (1953) utility function serves as an exemplar of those utility functions which have the potential to yield a Giffen good. As such, this utility function has contributed much to the overall development of consumer theory. Because of the said success of the Wold-Juréen (1953) utility function, it seems only natural to ask this: can the Wold-Juréen (1953) functional form also serve as an ex- emplar of those production functions which have the potential to yield a Giffen factor? Since our review of the literature suggests that no such question has ever been posed, therein lies the purpose of the present paper.
wold - jursamen(1953)效用函数是那些有可能产生吉芬商品的效用函数的一个范例。因此,这个效用函数对消费者理论的整体发展做出了很大贡献。由于wold - juren(1953)效用函数的上述成功,似乎很自然地要问:wold - juren(1953)函数形式也可以作为那些有可能产生吉芬因子的生产函数的范例吗?由于我们对文献的回顾表明,从来没有提出过这样的问题,这就是本文的目的。
{"title":"In Search of A Giffen Input: A Comprehensive Analysis of The Wold-Juréen (1953) Production Function","authors":"R. Sproule","doi":"10.14505/jmef.v8.2(15).03","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.14505/jmef.v8.2(15).03","url":null,"abstract":"\u0000 \u0000 \u0000The Wold-Juréen (1953) utility function serves as an exemplar of those utility functions which have the potential to yield a Giffen good. As such, this utility function has contributed much to the overall development of consumer theory. Because of the said success of the Wold-Juréen (1953) utility function, it seems only natural to ask this: can the Wold-Juréen (1953) functional form also serve as an ex- emplar of those production functions which have the potential to yield a Giffen factor? Since our review of the literature suggests that no such question has ever been posed, therein lies the purpose of the present paper. \u0000 \u0000 \u0000","PeriodicalId":367341,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Mathematical Economics and Finance","volume":"40 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2022-12-31","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"128730309","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Decomposing the Grey Economy in Bulgaria: A General-Equilibrium Analysis 保加利亚灰色经济的分解:一般均衡分析
Pub Date : 2022-12-31 DOI: 10.14505/jmef.v8.2(15).01
Aleksander Vasilev
This paper attempts to assess the size of the grey economy, and provide a decomposition by evasion type. The modelling approach utilizes a standard micro- founded general-equilibrium setup, which is augmented with a revenue-extraction mech- anism and a government sector. The model is calibrated to Bulgaria after the intro- duction of the currency board (1999-2018). A computational experiment performed within this setup estimates that on average, the size of total evasion is a bit more than one-fourth of output, an estimate which is in line with the figures provided in both Philip (2014) and the European Commission (2014). Two-thirds of the model- predicted evasion is a combined result of income- and social security evasion, while the rest is due to VAT evasion.
本文试图评估灰色经济的规模,并提供了一个分解的逃避类型。建模方法采用标准的微观一般均衡设置,并增加了收入提取机制和政府部门。该模型在引入货币发行局(1999-2018)后对保加利亚进行了校准。在此设置中进行的计算实验估计,平均而言,总逃避规模略高于产出的四分之一,这一估计与Philip(2014)和欧盟委员会(2014)提供的数据一致。该模型预测,三分之二的逃税是收入和社保逃税的综合结果,其余则是增值税逃税。
{"title":"Decomposing the Grey Economy in Bulgaria: A General-Equilibrium Analysis","authors":"Aleksander Vasilev","doi":"10.14505/jmef.v8.2(15).01","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.14505/jmef.v8.2(15).01","url":null,"abstract":"\u0000 \u0000 \u0000This paper attempts to assess the size of the grey economy, and provide a decomposition by evasion type. The modelling approach utilizes a standard micro- founded general-equilibrium setup, which is augmented with a revenue-extraction mech- anism and a government sector. The model is calibrated to Bulgaria after the intro- duction of the currency board (1999-2018). A computational experiment performed within this setup estimates that on average, the size of total evasion is a bit more than one-fourth of output, an estimate which is in line with the figures provided in both Philip (2014) and the European Commission (2014). Two-thirds of the model- predicted evasion is a combined result of income- and social security evasion, while the rest is due to VAT evasion. \u0000 \u0000 \u0000","PeriodicalId":367341,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Mathematical Economics and Finance","volume":"57 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2022-12-31","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"134254182","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Mechanical Analyses and Derivations of Money Velocity 货币流通速度的力学分析和推导
Pub Date : 2022-12-31 DOI: 10.14505/jmef.v8.2(15).02
Alessandro Saccal
Abstract. The equation of exchange is derived from a standpoint encompassing the physics and economics thereof, whereby the maximisation of a money value function, increasing in real output and decreasing in the real money supply, while accounting for time and space, subjected to a money constraint, at the macroeconomic level, gives rise to an optimal level of real output thereby, expressing the liquidity demand coefficient as the inverse quotient of space over time. The fusion of such a liquidity demand coefficient expression with the money constraint, which is the equilibrium Cambridge equation, in turn gives rise to an equation for space, being the position of money, whose differentiation is precisely instantaneous money velocity and thence the exchange equation as presented by Fisher. The present analysis also derives money position on account of non-constant instantaneous money velocity as instantiated by Fisher, advancing a framework for the macroeconomy’s general money value function and money constraint in the process. It likewise advances simulations of non-constant average and instantaneous money velocity, with a particular application to a stylised closed macroeconomy. It finally proceeds to remodel instantaneous money velocity through the use of ordinary differential equations (ODEs) for the money equations of motion, both generally, by letting the sum of the three equal a corrected exponential random walk with drift, and through a money force model, of free accumulation with financial assets resistance. This work thus remarks in sum that money velocity as customarily calculated, taught and understood is not univocal.
摘要交换方程是从包含物理和经济学的角度推导出来的,即货币价值函数的最大化,实际产出的增加和实际货币供给的减少,同时考虑到时间和空间,在宏观经济层面上,受到货币约束,从而产生最佳的实际产出水平,将流动性需求系数表示为空间随时间的逆商。将这样一个流动性需求系数表达式与货币约束(即均衡剑桥方程)融合,进而得到一个空间方程,即货币的位置,其微分正是瞬时货币速度,从而得到费雪提出的交换方程。本分析还推导了费雪实例中基于非恒定瞬时货币速度的货币头寸,提出了宏观经济中一般货币价值函数和货币约束的框架。它同样推进了非恒定平均和瞬时货币速度的模拟,并特别应用于程式化的封闭宏观经济。最后,通过使用货币运动方程的常微分方程(ode)来重新建模瞬时货币速度,一般来说,通过让三者的总和等于带有漂移的修正指数随机游走,以及通过货币力模型,具有金融资产阻力的自由积累。因此,这项工作总结说,通常计算、教授和理解的货币流通速度并不是单一的。
{"title":"Mechanical Analyses and Derivations of Money Velocity","authors":"Alessandro Saccal","doi":"10.14505/jmef.v8.2(15).02","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.14505/jmef.v8.2(15).02","url":null,"abstract":"\u0000 \u0000 \u0000Abstract. The equation of exchange is derived from a standpoint encompassing the physics and economics thereof, whereby the maximisation of a money value function, increasing in real output and decreasing in the real money supply, while accounting for time and space, subjected to a money constraint, at the macroeconomic level, gives rise to an optimal level of real output thereby, expressing the liquidity demand coefficient as the inverse quotient of space over time. The fusion of such a liquidity demand coefficient expression with the money constraint, which is the equilibrium Cambridge equation, in turn gives rise to an equation for space, being the position of money, whose differentiation is precisely instantaneous money velocity and thence the exchange equation as presented by Fisher. The present analysis also derives money position on account of non-constant instantaneous money velocity as instantiated by Fisher, advancing a framework for the macroeconomy’s general money value function and money constraint in the process. It likewise advances simulations of non-constant average and instantaneous money velocity, with a particular application to a stylised closed macroeconomy. It finally proceeds to remodel instantaneous money velocity through the use of ordinary differential equations (ODEs) for the money equations of motion, both generally, by letting the sum of the three equal a corrected exponential random walk with drift, and through a money force model, of free accumulation with financial assets resistance. This work thus remarks in sum that money velocity as customarily calculated, taught and understood is not univocal. \u0000 \u0000 \u0000","PeriodicalId":367341,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Mathematical Economics and Finance","volume":"79 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2022-12-31","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"116753852","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
The mercantile dilemma: formalisations and historical conclusions 商业困境:形式化和历史结论
Pub Date : 2022-06-30 DOI: 10.14505/jmef.v8.1(14).03
Alessandro Saccal
The following contributions are hereby worked: one mathematically formalises Mundell’s Impossible trio and Rodrik’s Globalisation paradox, supplying the latter with a taxonomy in terms of the current account; by means of Kaldor’s price endogeneity in output, one proves that external real money market disparity and trade generate external output mismatches and lead to autarky unless offset, using topology and dynamical systems; one characterises transfers and federalism and shows that all unitary states are federal polities and can merge into confederations; one demonstrates that the said external output mismatches can be only eluded via autarky or neutral- isation, irrespective of federalism; one discerns (i) artificial currency areas guaranteeing inter-regional external output growth equality and (ii) modern protectionism as two Nash equilibria, to wit, the mercantile dilemma, especially rationalising the nexus between the Gold standard, the Industrial revolution and the Great divergence therethrough.
以下贡献是在此进行的:一个是数学上形式化蒙代尔的不可能三人组和罗德里克的全球化悖论,为后者提供了一个经常账户分类;利用拓扑学和动力系统,利用卡尔多产出价格内生性理论,证明外部真实货币市场差异和贸易产生外部产出错配,除非抵消,否则会导致自给自足;第一章描述了转移和联邦制,并表明所有单一制国家都是联邦制,可以合并成邦联;一项研究表明,无论联邦制如何,上述外部产出错配只能通过自给自足或中立来避免;人们认为:(1)保证地区间外部产出增长平等的人为货币区和(2)现代保护主义是两个纳什均衡,即商业困境,尤其是将金本位、工业革命和由此产生的大分化之间的联系合理化。
{"title":"The mercantile dilemma: formalisations and historical conclusions","authors":"Alessandro Saccal","doi":"10.14505/jmef.v8.1(14).03","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.14505/jmef.v8.1(14).03","url":null,"abstract":"\u0000 \u0000 \u0000The following contributions are hereby worked: one mathematically formalises Mundell’s Impossible trio and Rodrik’s Globalisation paradox, supplying the latter with a taxonomy in terms of the current account; by means of Kaldor’s price endogeneity in output, one proves that external real money market disparity and trade generate external output mismatches and lead to autarky unless offset, using topology and dynamical systems; one characterises transfers and federalism and shows that all unitary states are federal polities and can merge into confederations; one demonstrates that the said external output mismatches can be only eluded via autarky or neutral- isation, irrespective of federalism; one discerns (i) artificial currency areas guaranteeing inter-regional external output growth equality and (ii) modern protectionism as two Nash equilibria, to wit, the mercantile dilemma, especially rationalising the nexus between the Gold standard, the Industrial revolution and the Great divergence therethrough. \u0000 \u0000 \u0000","PeriodicalId":367341,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Mathematical Economics and Finance","volume":"19 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2022-06-30","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"128567069","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Utility function for monetary gains (and losses) satisfying Friedman-Savage hypothesis 货币收益(和损失)的效用函数满足弗里德曼-萨维奇假设
Pub Date : 2022-06-30 DOI: 10.14505/jmef.v8.1(14).02
S. Lahiri
In this note we provide a closed form utility function for gains that is S-shaped around the origin and satisfies the Friedman-Savage hypothesis. We obtain the corresponding Arrow–Pratt measure of absolute risk aversion (ARA) as well as Arrow–Pratt measure of relative risk aversion (RRA) for it.
在本文中,我们为增益提供了一个封闭形式的效用函数,它在原点周围呈s形,并满足弗里德曼-萨维奇假设。我们得到了相应的绝对风险厌恶(ARA)的Arrow-Pratt测度和相对风险厌恶(RRA)的Arrow-Pratt测度。
{"title":"Utility function for monetary gains (and losses) satisfying Friedman-Savage hypothesis","authors":"S. Lahiri","doi":"10.14505/jmef.v8.1(14).02","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.14505/jmef.v8.1(14).02","url":null,"abstract":"\u0000 \u0000 \u0000In this note we provide a closed form utility function for gains that is S-shaped around the origin and satisfies the Friedman-Savage hypothesis. We obtain the corresponding Arrow–Pratt measure of absolute risk aversion (ARA) as well as Arrow–Pratt measure of relative risk aversion (RRA) for it. \u0000 \u0000 \u0000","PeriodicalId":367341,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Mathematical Economics and Finance","volume":"63 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2022-06-30","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"122306227","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
A Real-Business-Cycle Model with Financial Liberalization: Lessons for Bulgaria (1999-2020) 金融自由化下的真实商业周期模型:保加利亚的经验(1999-2020)
Pub Date : 2022-06-30 DOI: 10.14505/jmef.v8.1(14).01
Aleksandar Vasilev
Financial openness is introduced into a real-business-cycle setup aug- mented with a detailed government sector. The model is calibrated to Bulgarian data for the period following the introduction of the currency board arrangement (1999- 2020). The quantitative importance of financial openness is investigated for the stabi- lization of cyclical fluctuations in Bulgaria. The computational experiment performed in this paper reveals that greater financial openness increases the impact of technology shocks on output, investment, consumption, labor hours, and net exports. This am- plification effect is due to the following mechanism: openness provides a cheap access to foreign funds. Unfortunately, the new results come at odds with a major empirical observation, i.e. that consumption and net exports strongly pro-cyclical; the model, however, produces a countercyclical consumption, as well as net exports. Thus, such a setup is not yet ready to be used for policy analysis.
金融开放被引入到一个由详细的政府部门组成的真实经济周期结构中。该模型是根据引入货币发行局安排(1999年至2020年)之后的保加利亚数据进行校准的。研究了金融开放对稳定保加利亚周期性波动的数量重要性。本文的计算实验表明,金融开放程度越高,技术冲击对产出、投资、消费、劳动时间和净出口的影响越大。这种增值效应是由于以下机制:开放提供了获得外国资金的廉价途径。不幸的是,新的结果与一个主要的实证观察结果不一致,即消费和净出口具有强烈的顺周期性;然而,该模型产生了逆周期消费和净出口。因此,这种设置还不能用于政策分析。
{"title":"A Real-Business-Cycle Model with Financial Liberalization: Lessons for Bulgaria (1999-2020)","authors":"Aleksandar Vasilev","doi":"10.14505/jmef.v8.1(14).01","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.14505/jmef.v8.1(14).01","url":null,"abstract":"\u0000 \u0000 \u0000Financial openness is introduced into a real-business-cycle setup aug- mented with a detailed government sector. The model is calibrated to Bulgarian data for the period following the introduction of the currency board arrangement (1999- 2020). The quantitative importance of financial openness is investigated for the stabi- lization of cyclical fluctuations in Bulgaria. The computational experiment performed in this paper reveals that greater financial openness increases the impact of technology shocks on output, investment, consumption, labor hours, and net exports. This am- plification effect is due to the following mechanism: openness provides a cheap access to foreign funds. Unfortunately, the new results come at odds with a major empirical observation, i.e. that consumption and net exports strongly pro-cyclical; the model, however, produces a countercyclical consumption, as well as net exports. Thus, such a setup is not yet ready to be used for policy analysis. \u0000 \u0000 \u0000","PeriodicalId":367341,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Mathematical Economics and Finance","volume":"1 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2022-06-30","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"130309617","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
A Real-Business-Cycle model with robots: Lessons for Bulgaria 有机器人的真实商业周期模式:保加利亚的经验
Pub Date : 2021-12-31 DOI: 10.14505/jmef.v7.2(13).01
Aleksandar Vasilev
Robots are introduced into a real-business-cycle setup augmented with a detailed government sector. Robots are modeled as an imperfect substitute for labor services. The model is calibrated to Bulgarian data for the period following the intro- duction of the currency board arrangement (1999-2020). The quantitative importance of the presence of robots in the economy is investigated for business cycle fluctuations in Bulgaria. In the presence of robots, wages increase, but employment falls after a technology shock. However, for plausible parameter values, the effect is predicted to be quite small.
机器人被引入到一个真实的商业周期设置中,并辅以详细的政府部门。机器人被认为是劳动力服务的不完美替代品。该模型是根据引入货币发行局安排(1999-2020)之后的保加利亚数据进行校准的。对保加利亚经济周期波动中机器人存在的数量重要性进行了调查。在机器人出现的情况下,工资会增加,但在技术冲击之后,就业率会下降。然而,对于合理的参数值,预计影响是相当小的。
{"title":"A Real-Business-Cycle model with robots: Lessons for Bulgaria","authors":"Aleksandar Vasilev","doi":"10.14505/jmef.v7.2(13).01","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.14505/jmef.v7.2(13).01","url":null,"abstract":"\u0000 \u0000 \u0000Robots are introduced into a real-business-cycle setup augmented with a detailed government sector. Robots are modeled as an imperfect substitute for labor services. The model is calibrated to Bulgarian data for the period following the intro- duction of the currency board arrangement (1999-2020). The quantitative importance of the presence of robots in the economy is investigated for business cycle fluctuations in Bulgaria. In the presence of robots, wages increase, but employment falls after a technology shock. However, for plausible parameter values, the effect is predicted to be quite small. \u0000 \u0000 \u0000","PeriodicalId":367341,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Mathematical Economics and Finance","volume":"196 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2021-12-31","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"132483770","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Chance and The Statistical Law of Large Numbers 机会和大数的统计规律
Pub Date : 2021-12-31 DOI: 10.14505/jmef.v7.2(13).03
Rosario D’Amico
In this work we look at one special case to provide a rational basis for the following assertion known as Statistical Law of Large Numbers: If an event E has a constant probability p of occurrence on any one trial, and has occurred m times in n trials, then, if the relative frequency of E, m/n, approaches the value of a limit point l and the accuracy of the approximation increases as the number of trials increases, we have l = p. The argument we propose is based on the concepts of “event” and “trial”, formulated in a recent paper by the author himself, and their direct implications.
在这项工作中,我们着眼于一个特殊的情况,为以下被称为大数统计定律的断言提供理性基础:如果一个事件E常数概率p(发生在任何一个审判,和发生m * n试验中,然后,如果E的相对频率,m / n, l方法极限点的价值和增加近似的准确性随着试验的数量增加,我们有l = p。我们提出的论点是基于“事件”的概念和“审判”,制定在最近的一篇论文作者本人,和他们的直接影响。
{"title":"Chance and The Statistical Law of Large Numbers","authors":"Rosario D’Amico","doi":"10.14505/jmef.v7.2(13).03","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.14505/jmef.v7.2(13).03","url":null,"abstract":"\u0000 \u0000 \u0000In this work we look at one special case to provide a rational basis for the following assertion known as Statistical Law of Large Numbers: If an event E has a constant probability p of occurrence on any one trial, and has occurred m times in n trials, then, if the relative frequency of E, m/n, approaches the value of a limit point l and the accuracy of the approximation increases as the number of trials increases, we have l = p. The argument we propose is based on the concepts of “event” and “trial”, formulated in a recent paper by the author himself, and their direct implications. \u0000 \u0000 \u0000","PeriodicalId":367341,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Mathematical Economics and Finance","volume":"27 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2021-12-31","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"129486249","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
期刊
Journal of Mathematical Economics and Finance
全部 Acc. Chem. Res. ACS Applied Bio Materials ACS Appl. Electron. Mater. ACS Appl. Energy Mater. ACS Appl. Mater. Interfaces ACS Appl. Nano Mater. ACS Appl. Polym. Mater. ACS BIOMATER-SCI ENG ACS Catal. ACS Cent. Sci. ACS Chem. Biol. ACS Chemical Health & Safety ACS Chem. Neurosci. ACS Comb. Sci. ACS Earth Space Chem. ACS Energy Lett. ACS Infect. Dis. ACS Macro Lett. ACS Mater. Lett. ACS Med. Chem. Lett. ACS Nano ACS Omega ACS Photonics ACS Sens. ACS Sustainable Chem. Eng. ACS Synth. Biol. Anal. Chem. BIOCHEMISTRY-US Bioconjugate Chem. BIOMACROMOLECULES Chem. Res. Toxicol. Chem. Rev. Chem. Mater. CRYST GROWTH DES ENERG FUEL Environ. Sci. Technol. Environ. Sci. Technol. Lett. Eur. J. Inorg. Chem. IND ENG CHEM RES Inorg. Chem. J. Agric. Food. Chem. J. Chem. Eng. Data J. Chem. Educ. J. Chem. Inf. Model. J. Chem. Theory Comput. J. Med. Chem. J. Nat. Prod. J PROTEOME RES J. Am. Chem. Soc. LANGMUIR MACROMOLECULES Mol. Pharmaceutics Nano Lett. Org. Lett. ORG PROCESS RES DEV ORGANOMETALLICS J. Org. Chem. J. Phys. Chem. J. Phys. Chem. A J. Phys. Chem. B J. Phys. Chem. C J. Phys. Chem. Lett. Analyst Anal. Methods Biomater. Sci. Catal. Sci. Technol. Chem. Commun. Chem. Soc. Rev. CHEM EDUC RES PRACT CRYSTENGCOMM Dalton Trans. Energy Environ. Sci. ENVIRON SCI-NANO ENVIRON SCI-PROC IMP ENVIRON SCI-WAT RES Faraday Discuss. Food Funct. Green Chem. Inorg. Chem. Front. Integr. Biol. J. Anal. At. Spectrom. J. Mater. Chem. A J. Mater. Chem. B J. Mater. Chem. C Lab Chip Mater. Chem. Front. Mater. Horiz. MEDCHEMCOMM Metallomics Mol. Biosyst. Mol. Syst. Des. Eng. Nanoscale Nanoscale Horiz. Nat. Prod. Rep. New J. Chem. Org. Biomol. Chem. Org. Chem. Front. PHOTOCH PHOTOBIO SCI PCCP Polym. Chem.
×
引用
GB/T 7714-2015
复制
MLA
复制
APA
复制
导出至
BibTeX EndNote RefMan NoteFirst NoteExpress
×
0
微信
客服QQ
Book学术公众号 扫码关注我们
反馈
×
意见反馈
请填写您的意见或建议
请填写您的手机或邮箱
×
提示
您的信息不完整,为了账户安全,请先补充。
现在去补充
×
提示
您因"违规操作"
具体请查看互助需知
我知道了
×
提示
现在去查看 取消
×
提示
确定
Book学术官方微信
Book学术文献互助
Book学术文献互助群
群 号:481959085
Book学术
文献互助 智能选刊 最新文献 互助须知 联系我们:info@booksci.cn
Book学术提供免费学术资源搜索服务,方便国内外学者检索中英文文献。致力于提供最便捷和优质的服务体验。
Copyright © 2023 Book学术 All rights reserved.
ghs 京公网安备 11010802042870号 京ICP备2023020795号-1