SPATIAL VARIATIONS OF INSURGENCY ACTIVITIES IN SOME SELECTED STATES OF NORTH EASTERN NIGERIA

I. Mustafa
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Abstract

Purpose: The purpose of the paper is to examine the spatial variation of insurgency activities in some selected states of North eastern Nigeria. Methodology: The methodology of the paper utilizes secondary data from Armed Conflict Location and Event Data (ACLED), printed materials, newspaper records, and journals. Purposive sampling was adopted in the selection of the study area. The analysis and the variation were done with ArcGIS. Results: The results indicate that Borno state experienced the highest insurgency activities in all the years considered. The insurgency showed an increasing rate of 31 occurrences per year during the period of study. The R-square statistic shows that the model as fitted explained 72% variability in frequency of insurgency activities in the study area. Unique contribution to theory, practice and policy: The unique contribution of the study is that GIS should be utilized in the analysis of insurgency activities by security agencies so that spatial and temporal variations can be easily detected between geographical area.
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尼日利亚东北部一些选定州叛乱活动的空间变化
目的:本文的目的是研究尼日利亚东北部一些选定州叛乱活动的空间变化。方法:本文的方法利用了来自武装冲突地点和事件数据(ACLED)、印刷材料、报纸记录和期刊的辅助数据。研究区域的选择采用有目的的抽样方法。利用ArcGIS软件进行分析和变异。结果:结果表明,博尔诺州在所有考虑的年份经历了最高的叛乱活动。在研究期间,叛乱事件以每年31起的速度增加。r方统计表明,该模型拟合解释了研究地区72%的叛乱活动频率变异性。对理论、实践和政策的独特贡献:该研究的独特贡献在于GIS应用于安全机构对叛乱活动的分析,以便可以很容易地检测到地理区域之间的时空变化。
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