Beyond Tinkering: Economics after Behavioral Economics

Stephen Ellis, Grant M. Hayden
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引用次数: 1

Abstract

This paper assesses the current state of law and economics, standard and behavioral, and proposes an additional element to the basic belief-desire apparatus of economic theory in order to create a more unified theory of behavior. The first part of the paper assesses the current status of standard economic theory. While standard models have had their successes, a large and growing body of empirical evidence reveals that people often fail to live up its rational-actor ideal. In response, economists usually stick with standard consumer theory and attempt to explain the anomalous results by referring to some overlooked input (e.g., some new belief) or by applying the old models in new ways (e.g., multiple-selves accounts). But there are some cases that standard approaches just can't explain, and they don't seem to have the resources needed to expand their explanatory reach. Behavioral economics, the focus of the second part of the paper, is not without problems of its own. Chief among these is that it has not coalesced into a unified theory of behavior. This is problematic because there are inconsistent (and irreconcilable) behavioral explanations for particular bits of behavior; it is also difficult to figure out how behavioral and standard accounts fit together. The root of the problem, though, is not that behavioral models are under-theorized, but that they are under-motivated. Behavioral economists often fail to draw a distinction between empirical evidence and what it is evidence for. This sort of curve fitting approach explains why behavioral explanations are less than satisfying, and also helps explain why behavioral economics has not coalesced into a unified theory. The usual methods for accommodating the empirical evidence regarding economic theory share the following feature: they take the basic economic account as canonical. Accept, reject, or tinker with the functional forms, most economists, standard and behavioral, confine themselves to thinking about the particular elements of common sense (namely, desires and beliefs) that originally inspired economic models. There is, however, another approach. Economic theory (and its successors) might be too distilled - after all, there is much more to our common-sense theory of behavior than the claim that people act to get what they want. Recognizing this possibility allows us to see that we can look for additional resources in common sense to enhance economic models in a top down instead of bottom up way. The third and final part of the paper discusses one such approach based on Frederic Schick's work on understandings. Drawn from the well of common-sense psychology, the concept of understandings presents an additional element to the basic belief-desire apparatus that underlies economic theory. The idea, in a nutshell, is that people normally consider their circumstances from a particular perspective and, as a result, they act on proper subsets of their beliefs and desires that reflect their take on their situations. This approach can be readily integrated into standard economic theory and is capable of shedding crucial light on many of the situations that give standard accounts trouble (and give rise to behavioral alternatives). As such, it is a step in the direction of a more unified theory of human behavior.
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超越修补:行为经济学之后的经济学
本文评估了法律和经济学、标准和行为的现状,并提出了经济理论基本信念-欲望装置的一个额外元素,以创造一个更统一的行为理论。本文第一部分对标准经济理论的现状进行了评价。虽然标准模型取得了成功,但越来越多的经验证据表明,人们往往无法实现理性行为者的理想。作为回应,经济学家通常坚持标准的消费者理论,并试图通过参考一些被忽视的输入(例如,一些新的信念)或通过以新的方式应用旧模型(例如,多重自我账户)来解释异常结果。但也有一些情况是标准方法无法解释的,而且它们似乎没有足够的资源来扩大它们的解释范围。作为本文第二部分的重点,行为经济学本身也存在一些问题。其中最主要的是,它还没有形成一个统一的行为理论。这是有问题的,因为对于特定的行为存在不一致(和不可调和)的行为解释;也很难弄清楚行为账户和标准账户是如何结合在一起的。然而,问题的根源不在于行为模型的理论化不足,而在于它们的动机不足。行为经济学家常常无法区分经验证据和证据的意义。这种曲线拟合方法解释了为什么行为解释不那么令人满意,也有助于解释为什么行为经济学没有合并成一个统一的理论。容纳经济理论经验证据的常用方法有以下特点:它们把基本的经济考虑作为规范。接受、拒绝或修补功能形式,大多数经济学家,无论是标准的还是行为的,都将自己局限于思考最初启发经济模型的常识的特定元素(即欲望和信念)。然而,还有另一种方法。经济理论(及其后继者)可能过于精炼——毕竟,我们的常识性行为理论比人们为了得到自己想要的东西而行动的说法要多得多。认识到这种可能性使我们看到,我们可以在常识中寻找额外的资源,以自上而下而不是自下而上的方式增强经济模型。本文的第三部分也是最后一部分在弗雷德里克·希克关于理解的研究的基础上讨论了这样一种方法。从常识性心理学的井中提取,理解的概念为经济理论基础的基本信念-欲望机制提供了一个额外的元素。简而言之,这个想法是人们通常从一个特定的角度来考虑他们的环境,因此,他们根据自己的信念和欲望的适当子集来行动,这些子集反映了他们对环境的看法。这种方法可以很容易地整合到标准经济理论中,并且能够对许多给标准账户带来麻烦(并产生行为选择)的情况提供关键的启示。就其本身而言,这是朝着人类行为更统一理论的方向迈出的一步。
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