Information and algorithmic support of a multi-level integrated system for the investment strategies formation

D. Gercekovich, O. Basharina, I. Shilnikova, E. Gorbachevskaya, S. Gorsky
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Abstract

The article summarizes the accumulated practical experience of the authors in the development of algorithms for the formation of investment strategies. For this purpose, the optimization of the studied parameters, information support of investment activities, verification, monitoring and adjustment in the testing mode and the subsequent practical application of the described tools are considered. The system is based on the main provisions of the Markowitz portfolio theory. The analytical block of the Information System Portfolio Investor includes Profitability-Risk model; empirical models of optimal complexity; hybrid predictive model systems; the principle of combining (integrating) both models and forecasts, as well as decision rules; optimization of the training sample length (modified Markowitz model); optimization of the frequency of monitoring and adjusting the composition of the investment portfolio. The principles of design and development of the information block of the system, its replenishment and functioning are described in detail. All the above listed components of the algorithmic content of the investment decision making system are described sequentially. The system modules have been successfully tested on a wide class of financial instruments: ordinary shares, preferred shares, government and corporate bonds, exchange commodities, stock, commodity, industry and bond indices, exchange-traded investment funds and real estate funds. The implemented Markowitz model with a dynamic database of historical data can significantly increase the efficiency of investment decisions, which is facilitated by taking into account the characteristics of both the markets under study and the corresponding financial instruments.
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信息和算法支持多层次综合系统,形成投资策略
本文总结了作者在开发投资策略形成算法方面积累的实践经验。为此,考虑了所研究参数的优化、投资活动的信息支持、测试模式的验证、监测和调整以及随后所述工具的实际应用。该系统是基于马科维茨投资组合理论的主要规定。信息系统投资组合的分析模块包括盈利-风险模型;最优复杂性的经验模型;混合预测模型系统;模型与预测、决策规则相结合(整合)的原则;训练样本长度优化(修正Markowitz模型);优化监测频率,调整投资组合的构成。详细阐述了该系统信息块的设计与开发原理、信息块的补充与功能。以上列出的投资决策系统算法内容的各个组成部分依次进行描述。系统模块已成功地在广泛的金融工具上进行了测试:普通股,优先股,政府和公司债券,交易所商品,股票,商品,工业和债券指数,交易所交易投资基金和房地产基金。实现的带有动态历史数据数据库的马科维茨模型可以显著提高投资决策的效率,这是通过考虑所研究的市场和相应金融工具的特征而实现的。
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