Implementation of the Stabilizing Function of a Fiscal Policy in the Eurozone Countries

Łukasz Markowski
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Abstract

The implementation of a stabilizing fiscal policy is of particular importance to the eurozone countries, which do not have the ability to make autonomous decisions in the scope of their monetary policy in order to ease fluctuations of an economic cycle. The aim of this research was to evaluate the implementation of a discretionary fiscal policy in selected countries of this bloc. The ex post analysis of the approaches to national fiscal policies, with a division into two research sub-periods, was conducted with statistical methods. Based on the official forecasts by the European Commission, a “real time analysis” was also made, which to some extent enables gaining an insight into plans and intentions of the governments at the moment of making budgetary decisions. The results call into question the use of discretionary fiscal policies in stabilizing the economic cycle at the national level in the studied Eurozone countries. It can be said that the reforms implemented after the financial and economic crisis had a limited impact on the intentions and the actual implementation of the fiscal policies in an anti-cyclical manner. It is then sensible to consider alternative mechanisms, which could successfully lessen the asynchronous fluctuations in production within the European monetary union.  
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欧元区国家财政政策稳定功能的实施
实施稳定的财政政策对欧元区国家尤为重要,因为欧元区国家没有能力在货币政策范围内自主决策,以缓解经济周期的波动。本研究的目的是评估自由裁量财政政策在该集团选定国家的实施情况。用统计方法对国家财政政策的方法进行事后分析,并将其分为两个研究分期。根据欧盟委员会的官方预测,还进行了“实时分析”,这在一定程度上可以洞察各国政府在做出预算决策时的计划和意图。研究结果对欧元区国家在稳定国家经济周期方面使用自由裁量性财政政策提出了质疑。可以说,金融经济危机后实施的改革对反周期财政政策的意图和实际执行的影响是有限的。因此,考虑替代机制是明智的,这些机制可以成功地减轻欧洲货币联盟内部生产的不同步波动。
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