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Analiza podobieństwa sytuacji makroekonomicznej i poziomu inwestycji w Unii Europejskiej w latach 2018-2020 w kontekście pandemii Covid-19
Pub Date : 2022-09-30 DOI: 10.31648/oej.8551
Paulina Pukin-Sowul, L. Markowski
The purpose of this article was to determine the macroeconomic and investment situation in 2018-2020 in the Member States of the European Union. The work also deals with the division of the European Union into three parts: the core, the periphery, and  Central and Eastern Europe. A critical analysis of the scientific literature was used to present the economic consequences of the pandemic. Ward's method was used to create a few clusters of European Union Member States that are most similar to each other in terms of macroeconomic situation and investments. During the pandemic, the macroeconomic and investment situation worsened. Moreover, there are three groups of member states in the European Union, which indicates that there are still significant development and economic disproportions between the groups in the EU.
本文的目的是确定2018-2020年欧盟成员国的宏观经济和投资形势。本书还讨论了欧盟划分为三部分的问题:核心、外围、中欧和东欧。对科学文献进行了批判性分析,提出了大流行的经济后果。沃德的方法被用来建立几个在宏观经济情况和投资方面彼此最相似的欧洲联盟成员国群。疫情期间,宏观经济和投资形势恶化。此外,欧盟成员国有三个集团,这表明欧盟内部集团之间仍然存在着显著的发展和经济不平衡。
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引用次数: 1
Hurricane Risk and Property Insurance in Poland 波兰的飓风风险和财产保险
Pub Date : 2022-09-30 DOI: 10.31648/oej.8409
J. Bak
The objective of this paper is to identify the current situation and the trends in the market of property insurance offering protection against hurricane risk. This paper presents data on strong winds in January and February 2022 in Poland and the damage caused by them. Information from the General Headquarters of the National Fire Service, from the Energa Group of Companies and from individual insurance companies was used. The analysis was performed for insurance market data, and it focused on group 8, Section II (insurance against the element risk). To this end, the Annual Reports of the Polish Insurance Chamber and the Financial Supervision Authority for the past five years were used.Climate changes carry with them catastrophic phenomena whose frequency is growing. These include hurricanes, which have been causing multi-million property losses in recent years. Insurance companies include various aspects in the protection, which enables the policyholder to customize the product to their needs. Clients opt for this type of protection increasingly often. The gross written premium in insurance against elements and the number of active insurance policies is growing. The premium amount increased by more than 46% during the study period, and the number of active insurance policies increased by nearly 19%.
本文的目的是确定飓风风险财产保险市场的现状和趋势。本文介绍了2022年1月和2月波兰强风的数据及其造成的损害。使用了来自国家消防总局、能源集团公司和个别保险公司的资料。对保险市场数据进行了分析,重点是第8组第II节(针对要素风险的保险)。为此目的,使用了波兰保险商会和金融监督管理局过去五年的年度报告。气候变化带来了灾难性的现象,其频率越来越高。其中包括近年来造成数百万财产损失的飓风。保险公司在保护中包括各个方面,这使保单持有人能够根据自己的需要定制产品。客户越来越多地选择这种类型的保护。要素保险的毛保费和有效保单的数量正在增长。在研究期间,保费金额增长了46%以上,有效保单数量增长了近19%。
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引用次数: 0
Operating Surplus and its Importance in Financing Local Government Tasks on the Example of Municipalities of the Małopolskie Voivodeship 营运盈余及其对地方政府融资任务的重要性——以Małopolskie省自治市为例
Pub Date : 2022-09-30 DOI: 10.31648/oej.8644
Anna Wichowska
The operating surplus is a positive subtraction result of the revenue and current expenditures of a local government units. The level of operating surplus determines the scope and quality of task implementation, as well as investment and development opportunities of a local government unit. In periods of economic slowdown, the surplus can serve as a kind of buffer and guarantee for the continuous and effective functioning of a local government unit. The aim of the research was to assess the operating surplus and the ability to perform local government tasks based on the balance of current revenue and expenditure in the current economic conditions. The analysis was carried out on the example of the municipalities of the Małopolskie Voivodeship in Poland, and the research period covered the years 2014-2021. According to the conducted research, the most dynamic situation in the operating surplus development took place in urban municipalities. These municipalities maintained the highest average level of operating surplus, but it was characterized by large fluctuations, e.g. in 2020 due to the Covid-19 pandemic. This may result from the fact of high budget revenues and the widest range of obligatory tasks, as well as from the sensitivity to economic changes of budget revenues that are significant in cities. As a consequence, the implementation of tasks in a continuous manner and at a constant level of quality in periods of downturn may be at risk in the case of these cities, and the lower level of operating surplus may force these local governments to incur liabilities.
营业盈余是地方政府单位收入与经常支出相减后的正数。经营结余水平决定着地方政府单位任务执行的范围和质量,也决定着地方政府单位的投资和发展机会。在经济放缓时期,盈余可以作为地方政府单位持续有效运作的缓冲和保障。这项研究的目的是评估在当前经济条件下,以当前收支平衡为基础的经营盈余和执行地方政府任务的能力。该分析以波兰Małopolskie省的城市为例进行,研究期间为2014-2021年。研究表明,我国城市经营盈余发展最活跃的地区是直辖市。这些城市保持了最高的平均营业盈余水平,但其特点是波动较大,例如在2020年,由于Covid-19大流行。这可能是由于预算收入高,义务任务范围广,以及预算收入对经济变化的敏感性,这在城市中很重要。因此,对于这些城市来说,在经济低迷时期以持续的方式和稳定的质量执行任务可能会面临风险,而较低的经营盈余水平可能会迫使这些地方政府承担责任。
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引用次数: 0
The Evolution of Public Debt, Gross Domestic Product and Inflation Rate in Poland in 2015-2021 2015-2021年波兰公共债务、国内生产总值和通货膨胀率的演变
Pub Date : 2022-09-30 DOI: 10.31648/oej.8600
Aleksandra Lipka, Daria Nowacka, Andrzej Rzeszutek
The research aimed to assess the amount of public debt, GDP, and inflation in Poland and to forecast it for the period 2022-2026. The amount of public debt in the years under study, and two macroeconomic measures, GDP and inflation, were analyzed.The research was conducted based on data obtained from the Central Statistical Office, the Ministry of Finance, and Eurostat. One of the main research objectives of the study was to find a relationship between the level of GDP and public debt. To this end, vertical analysis of the acquired data was carried out and Pearson linear correlation coefficients were calculated. Another important aspect addressed in the study was the magnitude of average annual inflation rates, compared to the volume of public debt. To this end, the focus was on carrying out a vertical analysis of the variables that made it possible to find relationships between inflation and public debt. The focus was also on examining the share of public debt in GDP for Poland related to selected EU member states. The analysis was carried out in three countries each with a high and low correlation of the indicator under study.The analysis carried out allowed for the confirmation of the hypotheses put forward in this study that public debt is correlated with both GDP and the level of inflation in Poland. The estimated forecasts made it possible to conclude that the public debt will gradually increase over the next 5 years.
该研究旨在评估波兰的公共债务、GDP和通货膨胀,并预测2022-2026年期间的情况。研究人员分析了研究年份的公共债务数额,以及两项宏观经济指标——GDP和通货膨胀率。这项研究是根据中央统计局、财政部和欧盟统计局的数据进行的。该研究的主要研究目标之一是找到国内生产总值水平与公共债务之间的关系。为此,对采集的数据进行纵向分析,并计算Pearson线性相关系数。研究涉及的另一个重要方面是平均年通货膨胀率与公共债务数量的比例。为此目的,重点是对各种变量进行纵向分析,从而有可能发现通货膨胀和公共债务之间的关系。重点还在于审查波兰与选定的欧盟成员国有关的公共债务在国内生产总值中所占的份额。分析是在三个国家进行的,每个国家与所研究的指标有高有低的相关性。所进行的分析可以证实本研究中提出的假设,即波兰的公共债务与GDP和通货膨胀水平相关。根据估计的预测,有可能得出这样的结论:公共债务将在未来5年逐步增加。
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引用次数: 0
Models of Commercialization of Innovations in an Open Innovation Process 开放式创新过程中创新的商业化模式
Pub Date : 2022-09-30 DOI: 10.31648/oej.8698
Patryk Zachłowski
At present, innovations constitute a key determinant of a competitive position among market entities. Recent years have seen a change in the approach towards innovations and a gradual shift from a closed to an open model of innovation. The changing paradigm of innovation is accompanied by the question how to commercialize about outcomes of open innovation processes. The aim of the present article is to review models of the commercialization of innovations which are applied in innovation processes based on principles typical of the open innovation model.
目前,创新是决定市场主体竞争地位的关键因素。近年来,创新的方式发生了变化,创新模式逐渐从封闭模式转向开放模式。创新范式的变化伴随着如何将开放式创新过程的成果商业化的问题。本文的目的是根据开放式创新模式的典型原则,对创新过程中应用的创新商业化模型进行综述。
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引用次数: 0
Disaggregated Impact Analysis of Trade on Growth: The Role of Financial Openness in Nigeria 贸易对增长的分类影响分析:尼日利亚金融开放的作用
Pub Date : 2022-09-30 DOI: 10.31648/oej.7617
B. Omo-Ikirodah
This paper decomposes and estimates the impact of foreign trade on economic growth and evaluates the relevance of financial openness in the relationship in Nigeria using annual time series data between 1987 and 2020. The key findings of the paper are that although trade positively drives economic growth, the effect is due largely to the contribution of the non-oil export component in the long run and short run. This, however, does not rule out the fact that non-oil import over the long run and short run or the overall value of import in the long run lead to a high economic growth in the economy provided higher degree of financial openness is tolerated. In that, subject to broadening the scope of financial openness, Nigeria’s participation in international trade will result in rapid economic growth both in the long run and short run. 
本文利用1987年至2020年的年度时间序列数据,对尼日利亚对外贸易对经济增长的影响进行了分解和估计,并评估了金融开放在这一关系中的相关性。本文的主要发现是,尽管贸易对经济增长有积极的推动作用,但这种影响主要是由于非石油出口成分在长期和短期内的贡献。然而,这并不排除这样一个事实,即在允许更高程度的金融开放的情况下,长期和短期的非石油进口或长期进口的总体价值会导致经济的高经济增长。在扩大金融开放范围的前提下,尼日利亚参与国际贸易将带来长期和短期的快速经济增长。
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引用次数: 0
Implementation of the Stabilizing Function of a Fiscal Policy in the Eurozone Countries 欧元区国家财政政策稳定功能的实施
Pub Date : 2022-09-30 DOI: 10.31648/oej.8697
Łukasz Markowski
The implementation of a stabilizing fiscal policy is of particular importance to the eurozone countries, which do not have the ability to make autonomous decisions in the scope of their monetary policy in order to ease fluctuations of an economic cycle. The aim of this research was to evaluate the implementation of a discretionary fiscal policy in selected countries of this bloc. The ex post analysis of the approaches to national fiscal policies, with a division into two research sub-periods, was conducted with statistical methods. Based on the official forecasts by the European Commission, a “real time analysis” was also made, which to some extent enables gaining an insight into plans and intentions of the governments at the moment of making budgetary decisions. The results call into question the use of discretionary fiscal policies in stabilizing the economic cycle at the national level in the studied Eurozone countries. It can be said that the reforms implemented after the financial and economic crisis had a limited impact on the intentions and the actual implementation of the fiscal policies in an anti-cyclical manner. It is then sensible to consider alternative mechanisms, which could successfully lessen the asynchronous fluctuations in production within the European monetary union. 
实施稳定的财政政策对欧元区国家尤为重要,因为欧元区国家没有能力在货币政策范围内自主决策,以缓解经济周期的波动。本研究的目的是评估自由裁量财政政策在该集团选定国家的实施情况。用统计方法对国家财政政策的方法进行事后分析,并将其分为两个研究分期。根据欧盟委员会的官方预测,还进行了“实时分析”,这在一定程度上可以洞察各国政府在做出预算决策时的计划和意图。研究结果对欧元区国家在稳定国家经济周期方面使用自由裁量性财政政策提出了质疑。可以说,金融经济危机后实施的改革对反周期财政政策的意图和实际执行的影响是有限的。因此,考虑替代机制是明智的,这些机制可以成功地减轻欧洲货币联盟内部生产的不同步波动。
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引用次数: 1
Prospects for the Development of Intermodal Transport in the Visegrad Countries, Germany and Italy - Selected Aspects 维谢格拉德国家、德国和意大利多式联运发展前景——若干方面的选择
Pub Date : 2022-09-30 DOI: 10.31648/oej.8655
Małgorzata Kędzior-Laskowska, Joanna Kownacka-Waśkiewicz
The article presents the results of research on the possibilities of developing intermodal rail transport in the Visegrad Group countries, Italy and Germany. The research was conducted based on statistical data regarding demand for transport in intermodal cargo units and rail transport. Selected elements of transport infrastructure were taken into account as well, i.e. the length of railway tracks and railway lines (including electrified ones), the railway line density indicator, and the number of terminals. The study results proved that there was a noticeable development of infrastructure in Hungary which makes it a prospective market, affording the possibility for development of domestic and international transport. The biggest decrease for railway transport was observed in Germany and Poland. In the same time, in Poland there was observed the biggest increase in demand for intermodal container units (ICUs). The inverse relationship between demand for railway transport and ICUs is observed in most countries. Only in Czechia there was a parallel increase observed. It has been observed that linear and point infrastructure requires investment in electrification in most countries surveyed. These investments are important due to handling the needs of foreign trade. With the growing demand for transport and developed infrastructure, the intermodal rail transport will be able to compete with road transport. This process is consistent with the need to ensure green transport and modify transport structure into the environmental friendly one.
本文介绍了在维谢格拉德集团国家、意大利和德国发展多式联运铁路运输可能性的研究结果。这项研究是根据有关多式联运货物单位和铁路运输需求的统计数据进行的。选定的交通基础设施要素也被考虑在内,即铁路轨道和铁路线的长度(包括电气化的)、铁路线密度指标和终点站的数量。研究结果证明,匈牙利的基础设施有了显著的发展,使其成为一个有前景的市场,为发展国内和国际运输提供了可能性。铁路运输的减少幅度最大的是德国和波兰。与此同时,在波兰,对多式联运集装箱单元(ICUs)的需求增长幅度最大。大多数国家都观察到铁路运输需求与icu之间的反比关系。只有在捷克,出现了类似的增长。据观察,在大多数接受调查的国家,线性和点状基础设施需要电气化投资。由于处理对外贸易的需要,这些投资很重要。随着交通运输需求的增长和基础设施的发展,铁路多式联运将有能力与公路运输竞争。这一过程与确保绿色交通、改变交通结构向环保型转变的需要是一致的。
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引用次数: 0
Application of the 6D Hofstede Model in an Analysis of the Polish and Portuguese Business Culture 6D Hofstede模型在波兰和葡萄牙商业文化分析中的应用
Pub Date : 2022-09-30 DOI: 10.31648/oej.8651
M. Siemiński, Katarzyna Andruszkiewicz, T. Pinho
Business management in a culturally diverse environment, that is acting in different business cultures, is one of the major challenges facing managers nowadays. Cultural differences among societies have been known to exist for ages, but a holistic view of their impact on the business culture in particular countries, development of cultural typologies and studies into the nature of interactions between the business and organisational culture date back to the 1980s. The acceleration of social, technological and demographic changes, a more rapid process of globalisation as well as some disturbances, such as the COVID-19 pandemic, the war in Ukraine or the intensifying rivalry between China and the United States of America, increase organisational uncertainty. Such changes require a new cultural sensitivity as well as new, modified systems of values. The objective of this study has been to determine and compare the Polish and Portuguese business cultures. To this end, the contemporary Polish and Portuguese business cultures have been analysed according to the 6D Hofstede model.
在多元文化环境下的企业管理,即在不同的商业文化中行事,是当今管理者面临的主要挑战之一。社会之间的文化差异已经存在了很长时间,但它们对特定国家商业文化的影响的整体观点,文化类型学的发展以及对商业和组织文化之间相互作用性质的研究可以追溯到20世纪80年代。社会、技术和人口变化的加速,全球化进程的加快,以及新冠肺炎疫情、乌克兰战争或中国与美国之间的竞争加剧等一些动荡,增加了组织的不确定性。这种变化需要一种新的文化敏感性以及新的、经过修改的价值体系。本研究的目的是确定和比较波兰和葡萄牙的商业文化。为此,根据6D Hofstede模型对当代波兰和葡萄牙的商业文化进行了分析。
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引用次数: 0
Influence of a Financial Crisis and the Covid-19 Pandemic on Prices of Cereals in Poland 金融危机和新冠肺炎疫情对波兰谷物价格的影响
Pub Date : 2022-09-30 DOI: 10.31648/oej.8654
Łukasz Krajewski, M. Witkowska-Dąbrowska, Ilisio Manuel De Jesus
This article raises the question of the impact of global crises on the grain price market. Prices of wheat, rye, barley, oat and cereal mixture as well as maize were submitted to analysis. The aim of the study was to determine the influence of a financial crisis and the Covid-19 pandemic on prices of cereals in Poland. Two research hypotheses were put forth. The first one assumed that prices of cereals increased due to the 2007-2009 financial crisis. The second research hypothesis was that the Covid-19 pandemic caused fluctuations on the cereal price market. To verify these hypotheses, an analysis was completed using data from the GUS Central Statistical Office (Statistics Poland) In addition, relevant references from the fields of economics and agriculture were reviewed. Based on this study, it has been concluded that both the 2007-2009 financial crisis and the Covid-19 pandemic had significant effects on prices of cereals in Poland.
这篇文章提出了全球危机对粮食价格市场影响的问题。小麦、黑麦、大麦、燕麦和混合谷物以及玉米的价格被提交分析。该研究的目的是确定金融危机和Covid-19大流行对波兰谷物价格的影响。提出了两个研究假设。第一个假设是由于2007-2009年的金融危机,谷物价格上涨。第二个研究假设是新冠疫情导致谷物价格市场波动。为了验证这些假设,使用GUS中央统计局(波兰统计局)的数据完成了一项分析,此外,还审查了经济学和农业领域的相关参考文献。根据这项研究,得出的结论是,2007-2009年的金融危机和2019冠状病毒病大流行对波兰谷物价格产生了重大影响。
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引用次数: 0
期刊
Olsztyn Economic Journal
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