Remittances Economic Growth and Investment Nexus: Evidence From Nepal

Shashi Kant Chaudhary
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引用次数: 1

Abstract

This paper assesses the contribution of remittances on GDP and private gross fixed capital formation of Nepal by employing the ARDL bound test approach. The model incorporates the level of financial development, and the institutional quality of Nepal as regressors in addition to the macroeconomic regressors recognised by the literature. Perron’s (1997) innovation outlier model of breakpoint unit root test has been used to confirm the suitability of the variables in the ARDL bounds test approach. The findings show a positive effect of remittances on GDP while a negative effect on private gross fixed capital formation. The paper concludes that remittances do not act as a source of capital flows in the context of Nepal, rather they behave as compensatory transfers to the recipient households. To align remittances in productive activities such as self-employment, financial investment, etc., a remittance-focused policy is advised to reach out the recipients and provide them rigorous advisory and training supports.
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汇款、经济增长和投资关系:来自尼泊尔的证据
本文采用ARDL约束检验方法评估了汇款对尼泊尔GDP和私人固定资本形成总额的贡献。该模型结合了金融发展水平和尼泊尔的制度质量作为回归因子,以及文献中认可的宏观经济回归因子。使用Perron(1997)的断点单位根检验的创新离群值模型来确认ARDL界检验方法中变量的适宜性。研究结果表明,汇款对GDP有积极影响,而对私人固定资本形成总额有消极影响。本文的结论是,在尼泊尔,汇款并不是资本流动的来源,而是对接收家庭的补偿性转移。为了使汇款与自营职业、金融投资等生产活动相结合,建议制定一项以汇款为重点的政策,向收款人提供严格的咨询和培训支持。
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