Trade Opportunities, Competitiveness, and Trade Potential in Pakistan: An Analysis of GCC Regional Countries

Nadia Gohar, M. Irshad, Saima Liaqat, Aminah Khawer
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Abstract

Pakistan and GCC region share a common religion and cultural characteristics, increasing their importance to Pakistan regarding trade policy. To promote economic, cultural, and technical cooperation with GCC members, Pakistan is committed to signing a free trade arrangement with GCC. This paper aims to examine Pakistan's trade opportunities, competitiveness, and trade potential in the GCC region during 2003-2017. The result shows that Pakistan has the maximum comparative and competitive advantage with Bahrain, Saudi Arabia, and UAE amongst GCC countries. PPML shows that the main trade indicators responsible for Pakistan’s bilateral trade enhancement are GDP in both countries and partner country trade openness. Amongst the GCC countries, Pakistan has the highest trade potential with Bahrain, Kuwait, and Qatar. In contrast, with UAE and Saudi Arabia, Pakistan has a lower trade potential than the rest of the countries. Therefore, Pakistan needs to sign FTA with GCC before boosting their mutual trade and cooperation.
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巴基斯坦的贸易机会、竞争力和贸易潜力:海湾合作委员会地区国家分析
巴基斯坦和海湾合作委员会地区具有共同的宗教和文化特征,这增加了它们在巴基斯坦贸易政策方面的重要性。为促进与海湾合作委员会成员国的经济、文化和技术合作,巴基斯坦承诺与海湾合作委员会签署自由贸易安排。本文旨在研究2003-2017年期间巴基斯坦在海湾合作委员会地区的贸易机会、竞争力和贸易潜力。结果表明,在海湾合作委员会国家中,巴基斯坦与巴林、沙特阿拉伯和阿联酋相比具有最大的比较和竞争优势。PPML表明,对巴基斯坦双边贸易提升负责的主要贸易指标是两国国内生产总值和伙伴国贸易开放度。在海湾合作委员会国家中,巴基斯坦与巴林、科威特和卡塔尔的贸易潜力最大。相比之下,与阿联酋和沙特阿拉伯相比,巴基斯坦的贸易潜力低于其他国家。因此,巴基斯坦需要与海合会签署自贸协定,才能促进双方的贸易与合作。
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