Analysis of the Poisson Distribution Applicability to the Japanese Seismic Activity

A. Bossard
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引用次数: 1

Abstract

Being located on the Pacific Ring of Fire, Japan has an important seismic activity. Earthquake forecasting is thus a critical topic for the archipelago, and it is actively researched. Although the long-term objective remains seismic prediction accuracy, in this study, rather than focusing directly on prediction, we shall review and analyse recent past seismic data aiming at deducing patterns depending on, for instance, seismic intensities and geographical locations. In practice, we shall investigate several parameters for the application of the Poisson distribution and measure their impact on seismic probabilities and correspondence with past data.
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泊松分布对日本地震活动的适用性分析
日本位于环太平洋地震带,有重要的地震活动。因此,地震预报是群岛的一个重要课题,并得到了积极的研究。虽然长期目标仍然是地震预测的准确性,但在本研究中,我们将回顾和分析最近的过去地震数据,旨在根据地震强度和地理位置等因素推断出模式,而不是直接关注预测。在实践中,我们将研究泊松分布应用的几个参数,并测量它们对地震概率的影响以及与过去数据的对应关系。
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