Integration between disaster risk reduction and national climate change adaptation strategies and plans

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Abstract

Current national commitments to reduce GHG emissions and otherwise mitigate global warming under the Paris Agreement will not contain global warming within 2°C above pre-industrial levels, let alone the preferred containment within 1.5°C. The IPCC SR1.5 projects that, based on Member States’ current NDCs, the climate system is heading off track into the territory of 2.9°C to 3.4°C warming.317 If this happens, it would take future hydrometeorological hazard extremes well outside the known range of current experience and alter the loss and damage equations and fragility curves of almost all known human and natural systems, placing them at unknown levels of risk. This would render current strategies for CCA and DRR, in most countries, virtually obsolete. It also means that it is no longer sufficient to address adaptation in isolation from development planning, and that sustainable socioeconomic development, by definition, must include mitigation of global warming. Chapter 13: Integration between disaster risk reduction and national climate change adaptation strategies and plans
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将减少灾害风险与国家气候变化适应战略和计划相结合
目前各国根据《巴黎协定》作出的减少温室气体排放和以其他方式减缓全球变暖的承诺,无法将全球变暖控制在比工业化前水平高2°C以内,更不用说首选的控制在1.5°C以内了。IPCC SR1.5预测,根据成员国目前的国家自主贡献,气候系统正在偏离轨道,进入2.9°C至3.4°C的升温范围如果发生这种情况,它将使未来的极端水文气象灾害远远超出目前已知的经验范围,并改变几乎所有已知的人类和自然系统的损失和损害方程以及脆弱性曲线,使它们处于未知的风险水平。这将使大多数国家现行的共同承诺和减少灾害风险战略实际上已经过时。这还意味着,脱离发展规划解决适应问题已不再足够,可持续的社会经济发展,根据定义,必须包括减缓全球变暖。第13章:减少灾害风险与国家气候变化适应战略和计划的结合
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Risk reduction across the 2030 agenda Special section on drought How we got to now The sendai framework’s broadened view of the world’s risk Integration between disaster risk reduction and national climate change adaptation strategies and plans
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