INFLUENCE OF GAME-RELATED STATISTICAL ELEMENTS ON FINAL RESULT AT FIBA EUROBASKET WOMEN 2017

Slobodan Simovic, J. Komic, Bojan Guzina, Z. Pajić, Milenko Vojvodić
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引用次数: 2

Abstract

The research papers investigating the game-related parameters and phenomena of women's basketball matches are relatively smaller in size and number than the similar ones treating the same issues in men’s basketball - there has been some changes in that respect in recent years though. This paper’s sample of entity consisted of 40 games and thirteen variables of standard efficiency recorded at FIBA EuroBasket Women 2017 . The research had two basic models of regressions formed, i.e. the absolute and the relative one, each of which had total numbers scored as the dependent variable, and was performed by means of regression and correlation analysis - stepwise regression, as a gradual method of fitting regression models in order to define predictive variables. The obtained regression models and partial correlation indicate that the winning or losing performance was heavily influenced by both field goal efficiency and defensive rebounding, all of which has been corroborated in many other similar pieces of research. Also, the variables as turnovers and personal fouls were extracted as significant in terms of differentiation between the winning and losing team. When we take a closer look and see the observed parameters from the point of view of either First or Final rounds of the competition - since these rounds were played in different formats - it is noticeable that it is becoming more and more evident, of course besides the shot efficiency, the efficiency of free throws and the quality of defense.
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比赛相关统计因素对2017年国际篮联女子篮球赛最终结果的影响
调查女篮比赛相关参数和现象的研究论文在数量和数量上都相对较少,但近年来在这方面有了一些变化。本文的实体样本包括2017年FIBA欧洲女子篮球赛记录的40场比赛和13个标准效率变量。本研究形成了两种基本的回归模型,即绝对回归模型和相对回归模型,每一种回归模型都以总得分作为因变量,采用回归和相关分析——逐步回归的方法,逐步拟合回归模型,以确定预测变量。得到的回归模型和偏相关分析表明,得分效率和防守篮板对球队的输赢都有很大的影响,这在许多类似的研究中都得到了证实。此外,失误和个人犯规等变量被提取出来,作为区分输赢球队的重要因素。当我们仔细观察并从第一轮或最后一轮比赛的角度观察到的参数时——因为这两轮比赛采用了不同的形式——显然,除了投篮效率、罚球效率和防守质量之外,这一点变得越来越明显。
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