Di Jin, Chenhang Sun, Zhiyi Yang, Ruifa Cao, Zhigang Zhang
{"title":"Power Probabilistic Energy Flow Calculation for Integrated Energy System Considering Uncertainties of Renewable Energy Output and Load","authors":"Di Jin, Chenhang Sun, Zhiyi Yang, Ruifa Cao, Zhigang Zhang","doi":"10.1145/3546000.3546031","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"The intermittent output of renewable energy and the load fluctuation bring many uncertainties to the integrated energy system. Therefore, this paper proposes a power probabilistic energy flow calculation method for integrated energy systems considering renewable energy output and load uncertainty. Firstly, the electricity-heat-gas integrated energy system's steady-state energy flow calculation model is constructed based on the energy hub model. On this basis, considering the uncertainty of renewable energy output and load, a probabilistic energy flow calculation method for integrated energy systems based on the Quasi-Monte Carlo simulation method is proposed for the probabilistic energy flow of electricity. Finally, the accuracy of the calculation method is verified by an example analysis.","PeriodicalId":196955,"journal":{"name":"Proceedings of the 6th International Conference on High Performance Compilation, Computing and Communications","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":0.0000,"publicationDate":"2022-06-23","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":"0","resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":null,"PeriodicalName":"Proceedings of the 6th International Conference on High Performance Compilation, Computing and Communications","FirstCategoryId":"1085","ListUrlMain":"https://doi.org/10.1145/3546000.3546031","RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":null,"ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":null,"EPubDate":"","PubModel":"","JCR":"","JCRName":"","Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Abstract
The intermittent output of renewable energy and the load fluctuation bring many uncertainties to the integrated energy system. Therefore, this paper proposes a power probabilistic energy flow calculation method for integrated energy systems considering renewable energy output and load uncertainty. Firstly, the electricity-heat-gas integrated energy system's steady-state energy flow calculation model is constructed based on the energy hub model. On this basis, considering the uncertainty of renewable energy output and load, a probabilistic energy flow calculation method for integrated energy systems based on the Quasi-Monte Carlo simulation method is proposed for the probabilistic energy flow of electricity. Finally, the accuracy of the calculation method is verified by an example analysis.
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