Homeownership Rate and Other House Price Determinants Impacts on New House Prices in Colombia

Héctor Alberto Botello-Peñaloza
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Abstract

Homeownership remains a preferred form of tenancy in different parts of the world. The attractions of security, stability, investment potential and a sense of pride outweigh the fear of price instability. For this reason, the Colombian government has encouraged in recent years, various demand policies that have sought to promote the increase in the number of homeowners. However, these ideas could have a severe impact on prices in the real estate market. Therefore, this study seeks to examine the effect of homeownership rate on new house prices in an emerging country with low real estate ownership, credit restrictions and average per capita income. The study uses panel data model to examine the influence of housing tenancy and other variables on the variation of housing prices in Colombia. Data were obtained from various sources including the Central Bank of Colombia, Financial Superintendence of Colombia, and National Administrative Department of Statistics of Colombia. The results show that homeownership rates have a positive effect on the price of new homes, which supports the hypothesis of the research. The population growth of the cities is the factor that is most relevant when explaining the price variations.
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住房自有率和其他房价决定因素对哥伦比亚新房价格的影响
在世界各地,房屋所有权仍然是一种首选的租赁形式。安全、稳定、投资潜力和自豪感的吸引力超过了对价格不稳定的担忧。出于这个原因,哥伦比亚政府近年来鼓励了各种需求政策,旨在促进房主数量的增加。然而,这些想法可能会对房地产市场的价格产生严重影响。因此,本研究试图在一个房地产拥有率低、信贷限制和人均收入低的新兴国家检验住房拥有率对新房价格的影响。本研究使用面板数据模型来检验住房租赁和其他变量对哥伦比亚房价变化的影响。数据来自哥伦比亚中央银行、哥伦比亚金融监管局和哥伦比亚国家统计行政部门。结果表明,住房自有率对新房价格有正向影响,支持了研究的假设。在解释物价变动时,城市人口增长是最相关的因素。
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