Statistical Techniques for Prediction of Breakdown Voltage of Liquid Dielectrics used in Power Transformers

Suhaib Ahmad Khan, M. Tariq, M. Farhan, Zuhair Ali Khan
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Abstract

Due to growing energy demand and high transmission voltage, it is desired to have high breakdown strength of the insulating oil to avoid failure of the transformer, which may lead to power supply disruption. Dielectric properties of the conventional insulating oil can be improved by substituting a suitable nanofluid. This paper analyses the AC breakdown strength of transformer oil and TiO2 nanofluid using two statistical techniques, i.e., Weibull distribution and Normal distribution. From the normal distribution, mean value and standard deviation are estimated, while the Weibull distribution is used to estimate the scale and shape parameters. The estimated skewness factor for the normal distribution is observed to be non-zero. The experimental data are distributed asymmetrically according to this non-zero skewness. The asymmetrical form of the Weibull distribution fits the experimental data nicely. The typical breakdown voltage magnitude is provided by the Weibull distribution and is considered more favorable for predicting dielectric breakdown.
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电力变压器用液体介质击穿电压预测的统计技术
由于日益增长的能源需求和高传输电压,要求绝缘油具有较高的击穿强度,以避免变压器发生故障而导致供电中断。常规绝缘油的介电性能可以通过适当的纳米流体替代而得到改善。本文采用威布尔分布和正态分布两种统计方法对变压器油和TiO2纳米流体的交流击穿强度进行了分析。从正态分布中估计均值和标准差,使用威布尔分布估计规模和形状参数。观察到正态分布的估计偏度因子是非零的。根据这种非零偏度,实验数据是非对称分布的。威布尔分布的不对称形式很好地拟合了实验数据。典型的击穿电压幅值由威布尔分布提供,被认为更有利于预测介质击穿。
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