Agent-Based Modelling of Demand-Side Flexibility Adoption in Reservoir Pumping

Magnus Værbak, Zheng Ma, Kristoffer Christensen, Y. Demazeau, B. Jørgensen
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引用次数: 17

Abstract

As wind and solar power displace conventional generation in the electricity grid, there is an urgent need for technologies that can deal with the variation in supply. Demand response technology has been proposed as a solution to make the demand-side flexible and able to effectively adjust to variations in supply. However, consumers do not simply invest in demand response technologies without insurance that their investment will pay back. This paper applies agent-based simulation to investigate consumer adoption behaviour of implicit demand response solutions that allow consumers to adjust their electricity use to the hourly prices in day-ahead spot markets. The simulation uses the case study of a water supply system to show that the adoption speed of implicit demand response technology depends on both technical characteristics of the system and the business model of the implicit demand response solution provider. Hence, this paper contributes with insight on how agent-based simulation can help technology providers to design solutions which match the needs of system operators.
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基于agent的油藏抽水需求侧灵活性建模
随着风能和太阳能在电网中取代传统发电,迫切需要能够应对供应变化的技术。需求响应技术已被提出作为一种解决方案,使需求侧灵活,能够有效地调整供应的变化。然而,消费者不会在没有投资回报保障的情况下简单地投资需求响应技术。本文应用基于代理的模拟来研究消费者对隐性需求响应解决方案的采用行为,该解决方案允许消费者根据日前现货市场的小时价格调整其用电量。通过对某供水系统的仿真研究,表明隐式需求响应技术的采用速度取决于系统的技术特征和隐式需求响应解决方案提供商的商业模式。因此,本文有助于深入了解基于代理的仿真如何帮助技术提供商设计符合系统操作员需求的解决方案。
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