2. Looming Tragedy

J. Dryzek
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Abstract

Ecologists have applied the concept of “carrying capacity”, the population of a species that an ecosystem can support, to human populations. Ecological limits to growth in population and the economy dominated environmental concern in the 1970s and beyond. More recently they have been supplanted by the idea of planetary boundaries, based on the stresses that the earth system is capable of absorbing, several of which (including biosphere integrity and climate change) have already been transgressed, suggesting the system is in grave peril. This chapter also considers the points of critics of the idea that there can be limits, then analyzes the political implications of limits and boundaries, from the authoritarianism associated with some 1970s thinkers to the need for cooperative global action to the more democratic possibilities that could be associated with degrowth and planetary boundaries.
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2. 即将到来的悲剧
生态学家将“承载能力”的概念应用于人类种群,即生态系统所能支持的物种数量。20世纪70年代及以后,人口和经济增长的生态限制主导了环境问题。最近,它们已被行星边界的概念所取代,该概念基于地球系统能够吸收的压力,其中一些压力(包括生物圈完整性和气候变化)已经被超越,表明该系统处于严重危险之中。本章还考虑了对存在限制这一观点的批评者的观点,然后分析了限制和边界的政治含义,从与一些20世纪70年代思想家相关的威权主义到合作全球行动的需要,再到可能与去增长和全球边界相关的更民主的可能性。
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