Stepping-stones and Mediators of Pandemic Expansion—A Context for Humans as Ecological Super-spreaders

Eric P. Hoberg, W. Boeger, D. Brooks, V. Trivellone, S. Agosta
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引用次数: 2

Abstract

Humans represent ecological super-spreaders in the dissemination and introduction of pathogens. These processes, consistent with the dynamics of the Stockholm paradigm, are exemplified in the origin and globalized distributions of SARS-CoV-2 since initial recognition in central Asia during 2019 and 2020. SARS-like viruses are not widespread in mammals but appear widespread in chiropterans. Bats are isolated ecologically from most other assemblages of mammals in terrestrial systems. Humans may be the stepping-stone hosts for broad global dissemination and wider infection (given the opportunity) among diverse assemblages of mammals in which host and viral capacity are compatible. Human globalization mediated insertion in global ecosystems along primary and secondary pathways initially with localized to regional circulation across continents. Origins and persistence of cycles involving variants and viral transmission among other mammals and the potential for secondary exposure (retrocolonization) of people occurs on multidirectional pathways. Humans were responsible for the initial breakdown in ecological isolation of the virus that facilitated colonization events from chiropterans to other mammals. In the absence of these human drivers, environmental or ecological interfaces (boundary zones among habitats) limiting the distribution of SARS-CoV-2 are unlikely to have been crossed, leaving a diverse assemblage of SARS-like viruses (Sarbecovirus) remaining relatively hidden and isolated in southeast Asia.
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流行病扩展的垫脚石和媒介——人类作为生态超级传播者的背景
人类是病原体传播和引入的生态超级传播者。这些进程与斯德哥尔摩范式的动态一致,体现在2019年和2020年在中亚首次确认SARS-CoV-2以来的起源和全球化分布中。sars样病毒在哺乳动物中并不普遍,但似乎在翼类动物中普遍存在。在生态上,蝙蝠与陆地系统中大多数其他哺乳动物群落是隔离的。人类可能是在宿主和病毒能力相容的各种哺乳动物群体中进行广泛全球传播和更广泛感染(如果有机会)的垫脚石宿主。人类全球化介导了全球生态系统沿初级和次级途径的插入,最初是跨大陆的局部到区域循环。涉及变异和病毒在其他哺乳动物之间传播的周期的起源和持续以及人的二次暴露(反定植)的可能性发生在多向途径上。人类对病毒在生态隔离上的最初崩溃负有责任,这种隔离促进了翼手类动物向其他哺乳动物的殖民事件。在没有这些人类驱动因素的情况下,限制SARS-CoV-2分布的环境或生态界面(栖息地之间的边界区)不太可能被跨越,从而使东南亚的各种sars样病毒(Sarbecovirus)组合相对隐蔽和孤立。
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