An Emerging Infectious Disease Surveillance Platform for the 21st Century

E. Ortíz, Alicia Juarrero
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Abstract

Current vector surveillance programs are insufficient for coping with the emerging infectious disease crisis. In particular, current practices do not deploy sufficient information technology (IT) tools to generate actionable insights that can inform interventions and contain and mitigate the spread of vector-borne diseases. VectorAnalytica has developed a highly configurable and adaptable IT platform that imports, harmonizes, and integrates a range of data sources. The state-of-the-art backend development allows users to fully appreciate and understand the complexity of infectious disease dynamics without having to resort to additional statistical and GIS software packages. The platform yields actionable insights into outbreak patterns of vector-borne diseases that could not have been obtained without integrating pertinent contextual information at a granular spatiotemporal scale. Such integration empowers local scientists to participate actively in an ongoing manner in protecting their communities. The platform can also empower regional and national scientists and other scholars and agencies by providing them with a shared platform through which they can access continuously updated real-time data with which to formulate, validate, and update new dynamic forecasting and simulating models that support timely and appropriate decision-making and interventions on a wide range of scales. VectorAnalytica’s effectiveness is described in three cases studies for which integrating and visualizing unexpected but pertinent variables (in addition to those traditionally studied for vector disease monitoring and management) yielded critical information about significant correlations between weather variables and disease incidence, and between complaints to local call centers, weather conditions, and emergent vector hotspots.
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21世纪新兴传染病监测平台
目前的病媒监测计划不足以应对新出现的传染病危机。特别是,目前的做法没有部署足够的信息技术工具来产生可操作的见解,从而为干预措施提供信息,并遏制和减轻病媒传播疾病的传播。VectorAnalytica开发了一个高度可配置和适应性强的IT平台,可以导入、协调和集成一系列数据源。最先进的后端开发使用户能够充分认识和理解传染病动态的复杂性,而不必借助额外的统计和地理信息系统软件包。该平台对病媒传播疾病的暴发模式提供了可操作的见解,如果不以细粒度的时空尺度整合相关背景信息,就无法获得这些见解。这种整合使当地科学家能够以一种持续的方式积极参与保护他们的社区。该平台还可以为地区和国家科学家以及其他学者和机构提供一个共享平台,通过该平台,他们可以访问不断更新的实时数据,从而制定、验证和更新新的动态预测和模拟模型,从而支持在大范围内及时和适当的决策和干预。VectorAnalytica的有效性在三个案例研究中得到了描述,在这些案例研究中,整合和可视化意外但相关的变量(除了那些传统上用于病媒疾病监测和管理的变量之外)产生了关于天气变量与疾病发病率之间以及对当地呼叫中心的投诉、天气条件和紧急病媒热点之间的重要相关性的关键信息。
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