Egyptian-Saudi Relations between Short-lived Honeymoon and Radical Strategic Shifts

A. Arafat
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引用次数: 1

Abstract

This paper is not an attempt to trace Saudi-Egyptian relations, but rather is an attempt to answer the very central question: how ideological orientations do affect the relations between the two countries.This paper argues that four interlinked variables affected Saudi-Egyptian relations almost throughout the last seven years. First, the centralization of Iranian threat in Saudi-Egyptian relations after the downfall of Mubarak. Second is the rise of the MB as a key political actor in post-Mubarak Egypt. Third, the rise of Qatar influence in Egypt. Finally and almost the most important, the change in the Saudi strategic priorities and foreign policy doctrine after King Salman received power in 2015.This paper argues that Saudi-Egyptian relations need comprehensive reconsideration and reestablishment based on the new realities and threats of the region and the two countries mutual strategic interests. Structurally, this paper is divided into two parts, besides the theoretical framework. The first part, "A Short-lived Honeymoon: Egyptian-Saudi Relations under King Abdullah", explores the relations between the two countries from 2011 to January 2015. The second part, "Radical Strategic Shifts: Egyptian-Saudi Relations under King Salman", explores the relations between the two countries from 2015 to 2017.
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短暂的蜜月期与激进的战略转变之间的埃及与沙特关系
本文并非试图追溯沙特与埃及的关系,而是试图回答一个非常核心的问题:意识形态取向是如何影响两国关系的。本文认为,四个相互关联的变量几乎在过去七年中影响了沙特与埃及的关系。首先,穆巴拉克倒台后,伊朗威胁在沙特与埃及关系中的集中化。其次是穆斯林兄弟会的崛起,成为后穆巴拉克时代埃及重要的政治角色。第三,卡塔尔在埃及影响力的上升。最后也是最重要的一点是,2015年萨勒曼国王上台后,沙特的战略重点和外交政策原则发生了变化。本文认为,沙特与埃及的关系需要根据该地区的新现实和威胁以及两国的共同战略利益进行全面的重新考虑和重建。在结构上,本文除理论框架外,分为两个部分。第一部分,“短暂的蜜月:阿卜杜拉国王统治下的埃及-沙特关系”,探讨了2011年至2015年1月两国的关系。第二部分,“激进的战略转变:萨勒曼国王统治下的埃及与沙特关系”,探讨了2015年至2017年两国关系。
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