Dynamic Selling Mechanisms for Product Differentiation and Learning

N. B. Keskin, J. Birge
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引用次数: 22

Abstract

We consider a firm that designs a menu of vertically differentiated products for a population of customers with heterogeneous quality sensitivities. The firm faces an uncertainty about production costs, and we formulate this uncertainty as a belief distribution on a set of cost models. Over a time horizon of T periods, the firm can dynamically adjust its menu and make noisy observations on the underlying cost model through customers’ purchasing decisions. We characterize how optimal product differentiation depends on the “informativeness” of quality choices, formally measured by a contrast-to-noise ratio defined on the firm’s feasible quality set. We prove that, if there exist informative quality choices, then the optimal product differentiation policy improves the product quality to accelerate information accumulation and exercises the most extreme experimentation on less quality-sensitive customers. We design a minimum quality standard (MQS) policy that mimics the aforementioned features of the optimal policy and show that the MQS policy is near-optimal. We also prove that, if there exists a certain continuum of informative quality choices, then even a myopic policy that makes no attempt to learn exhibits near-optimal profit performance. This stands in stark contrast to the poor performance of myopic policies in pricing and learning problems in the absence of product differentiation.
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产品差异化的动态销售机制与学习
我们考虑一家公司,为具有不同质量敏感性的客户群体设计垂直差异化产品的菜单。企业面临着生产成本的不确定性,我们将这种不确定性表述为一组成本模型上的信念分布。在T期的时间范围内,公司可以动态调整其菜单,并通过客户的购买决策对潜在成本模型进行嘈杂的观察。我们描述了最优产品差异化如何依赖于质量选择的“信息量”,通过定义在公司可行质量集上的对比度-噪声比正式测量。我们证明,如果存在信息质量选择,那么最优产品差异化策略提高了产品质量,加速了信息积累,并在对质量不太敏感的客户上进行了最极端的实验。我们设计了一个最低质量标准(MQS)策略,它模仿了上述最优策略的特征,并表明MQS策略是接近最优的。我们还证明,如果存在信息质量选择的某种连续体,那么即使是不尝试学习的短视政策也会表现出接近最优的利润表现。这与缺乏产品差异化的定价和学习问题上的短视政策表现不佳形成鲜明对比。
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