Method selection for demand forecasting: Application in a private hospital

Ayşe Göksu Özüdoğru, Ali̇ Görener
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引用次数: 4

Abstract

On the basis of a productive and peaceful society, the physical and mental health of individuals constituting society lies. The threat for health resulting from the deterioration of environmental conditions, genetic inheritance, etc. leads individuals to receive health care services and thus direct them to hospitals. Hospitals in the service sector are enterprises where there is very intense interaction with customers which is difficult to manage. Competition among the institutions involved in this field, to transfer the best service to our customers with cost-efficient confronts us as a necessity. One of the most important points in providing suitable is planning during making a purchase. Particularly in institutions such as hospitals where the purchase of medical supplies is a major cost item, a good demand forecast should be made for the control of inventory costs. In this study, with data taken from a hospital in Istanbul, a demand forecast application was conducted with the actual demand data for the last five years of basic medical materials used. Different forecasting methods were applied to the available data, and it was intended to determine the most appropriate forecasting method.
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需求预测方法选择:在某民营医院的应用
构成社会的个人的身心健康是建立在一个富有成效的和平社会的基础之上的。环境条件恶化、基因遗传等对健康造成的威胁导致个人接受保健服务,从而将他们送往医院。服务行业的医院是与客户互动非常激烈的企业,管理难度较大。参与该领域的机构之间的竞争,以最具成本效益的方式向我们的客户提供最好的服务,这是我们必须面对的。提供合适的服务最重要的一点是在购买过程中进行计划。特别是在医院等医疗用品采购是主要成本项目的机构,要做好需求预测,控制库存成本。在这项研究中,数据取自伊斯坦布尔的一家医院,对过去五年使用的基本医疗材料的实际需求数据进行了需求预测应用。对现有数据采用不同的预测方法,旨在确定最合适的预测方法。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
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