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International Journal of Decision Sciences & Applications (2528-956X)最新文献

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A probable effect of the development of internet technology on insurance & banking sectors, decision processes and service structures 互联网技术的发展对保险和银行业、决策过程和服务结构的可能影响
Pub Date : 2016-04-27 DOI: 10.20525/ijdsa.v1i1.1429
Ali Osman Serdar Citak
The history of the development of the Internet of Things (IoT) covers the last twenty years. Despite the short of time, the concept and implementation of the Internet of Things have widely spread all over the world. The impetus of the dissemination of the concept has exponential speed. In the near future, billions of smart sensors and devices will interact with one another without human intervention. The early impact of the Internet of Things has been observed and discussed in the areas of technology, transportation, production, and marketing. The prospective effect of the Internet of Things on the finance sector has been discussed recently. In this study, the development of the concept of the Internet of Things and it is effect on the finance sector and specifically the insurance and banking sectors and future expectations have been evaluated.
物联网(IoT)的发展历史涵盖了过去二十年。尽管时间紧迫,但物联网的概念和实施已经在全球范围内广泛传播。这一概念的传播速度呈指数级增长。在不久的将来,数十亿的智能传感器和设备将在没有人为干预的情况下相互交互。物联网的早期影响已经在技术、交通、生产和营销领域被观察和讨论。最近,人们讨论了物联网对金融领域的潜在影响。在本研究中,物联网概念的发展及其对金融部门,特别是保险和银行业的影响以及对未来的预期进行了评估。
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引用次数: 1
Visualizing big data via a mixture of PARAMAP and Isomap 通过PARAMAP和Isomap的混合实现大数据可视化
Pub Date : 2016-04-15 DOI: 10.20525/ijdsa.v1i1.1428
Ulas Akkucuk
Dimension reduction strives to represent higher dimensional data by a lower-dimensional structure. A famous approach by Carroll called Parametric Mapping or PARAMAP (Shepard & Carroll, 1966) works by iterative minimization of a loss function measuring the smoothness or continuity of the mapping from the lower dimensional representation to the original data. The algorithm was revitalized with essential modifications (Akkucuk & Carroll, 2006). Even though the algorithm was modified, it still needed to make a large number of randomly generated starts. In this paper we discuss the use of a variant of the Isomap method (Tenenbaum et al., 2000) to obtain a starting framework to replace the random starts. The core set of landmark points are selected by a special procedure akin to selection of seeds for the k-means algorithm. These core set of landmark points are used to create a rational start for running the PARAMAP algorithm only once but effectively reach a global minimum. Since Isomap is faster and less inclined to local optimum problems than PARAMAP, and the iterative process involved in adding new points to the configuration will be less time consuming (since only one starting configuration is used), we believe the resulting method should be better suited to deal with large data sets, and more prone to obtain an acceptable solution in realistic time.
降维力求用低维结构表示高维数据。Carroll提出了一种著名的方法,称为参数映射或PARAMAP (Shepard & Carroll, 1966),通过对损失函数的迭代最小化来测量从低维表示到原始数据的映射的平滑性或连续性。该算法经过必要的修改重新焕发了活力(Akkucuk & Carroll, 2006)。尽管对算法进行了修改,但仍然需要进行大量随机生成的启动。在本文中,我们讨论了使用Isomap方法的一种变体(Tenenbaum et al., 2000)来获得一个启动框架来取代随机启动。通过一种类似于k-means算法的种子选择的特殊程序来选择核心的地标点集。这些核心地标点集用于创建一个合理的开始,仅运行一次PARAMAP算法,但有效地达到全局最小值。由于Isomap比PARAMAP更快,更不倾向于局部最优问题,并且在配置中添加新点的迭代过程将消耗更少的时间(因为只使用一个起始配置),我们认为最终方法应该更适合处理大型数据集,并且更容易在现实时间内获得可接受的解决方案。
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引用次数: 1
Impact of macroeconomic factors on inflation: An assessment on indian economy by using vector auto-regressive modeling 宏观经济因素对通货膨胀的影响:用向量自回归模型对印度经济的评估
Pub Date : 2016-04-15 DOI: 10.20525/ijdsa.v1i1.1427
M. Dash, Gopi Krishna Pachetas
Inflation is the sustained rise in the prices of commodities. Central Banks have the critical responsibility of ensuring price stability; however, every attempt should be made to ensure that price stability should not hit economic growth. Thus, it becomes imperative for Central Banks to determine the key fiscal and monetary factors that have the greatest impact on domestic price levels. Based on these factors, it can tackle the problem of inflation effectively and efficiently. Further, there are several global price indices and factors that need to be factored in while tackling the problem of inflation.  The objective of the current study is to empirically determine the macroeconomic factors that play a significant role in influencing inflation in India. The study considers international food and oil price indices amongst other macroeconomic variables such as the fiscal deficit, index of industrial production, exchange rate, MIBOR, and money supply in order to explain inflation. Monthly data for each of the above variables were collected for the research period 2000-10. The study is based on Vector Auto-Regressive modeling. The Augmented Dickey-Fuller Unit Root Test was performed to test for stationarity of all of the time-series data. The results of the Granger causality tests indicate that fiscal indicators such as fiscal deficit and international factors such as international food and oil price indices play a significant role in influencing inflation. The research outcomes conform to the results of several earlier studies.
通货膨胀是指商品价格的持续上涨。央行负有确保价格稳定的关键责任;然而,应尽一切努力确保价格稳定不影响经济增长。因此,中央银行必须确定对国内价格水平影响最大的关键财政和货币因素。基于这些因素,它可以有效和高效地解决通货膨胀问题。此外,在解决通货膨胀问题时,需要考虑几个全球价格指数和因素。本研究的目的是实证地确定在影响印度通货膨胀中起重要作用的宏观经济因素。除了财政赤字、产业生产指数、汇率、国际银行间同业拆借利率(mbor)、货币供应量等宏观经济变量外,还考虑了国际食品和石油价格指数来解释通货膨胀。在2000- 2010年的研究期间,每月收集上述每个变量的数据。本研究基于向量自回归模型。采用增强型Dickey-Fuller单位根检验来检验所有时间序列数据的平稳性。格兰杰因果检验结果表明,财政赤字等财政指标和国际食品、石油价格指数等国际因素对通货膨胀的影响显著。研究结果与之前几项研究的结果一致。
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引用次数: 0
Method selection for demand forecasting: Application in a private hospital 需求预测方法选择:在某民营医院的应用
Pub Date : 2016-04-15 DOI: 10.20525/ijdsa.v1i1.1426
Ayşe Göksu Özüdoğru, Ali̇ Görener
On the basis of a productive and peaceful society, the physical and mental health of individuals constituting society lies. The threat for health resulting from the deterioration of environmental conditions, genetic inheritance, etc. leads individuals to receive health care services and thus direct them to hospitals. Hospitals in the service sector are enterprises where there is very intense interaction with customers which is difficult to manage. Competition among the institutions involved in this field, to transfer the best service to our customers with cost-efficient confronts us as a necessity. One of the most important points in providing suitable is planning during making a purchase. Particularly in institutions such as hospitals where the purchase of medical supplies is a major cost item, a good demand forecast should be made for the control of inventory costs. In this study, with data taken from a hospital in Istanbul, a demand forecast application was conducted with the actual demand data for the last five years of basic medical materials used. Different forecasting methods were applied to the available data, and it was intended to determine the most appropriate forecasting method.
构成社会的个人的身心健康是建立在一个富有成效的和平社会的基础之上的。环境条件恶化、基因遗传等对健康造成的威胁导致个人接受保健服务,从而将他们送往医院。服务行业的医院是与客户互动非常激烈的企业,管理难度较大。参与该领域的机构之间的竞争,以最具成本效益的方式向我们的客户提供最好的服务,这是我们必须面对的。提供合适的服务最重要的一点是在购买过程中进行计划。特别是在医院等医疗用品采购是主要成本项目的机构,要做好需求预测,控制库存成本。在这项研究中,数据取自伊斯坦布尔的一家医院,对过去五年使用的基本医疗材料的实际需求数据进行了需求预测应用。对现有数据采用不同的预测方法,旨在确定最合适的预测方法。
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引用次数: 4
Balanced scorecard-based performance assessment of Turkish banking sector with the Analytic Network Process (ANP) 基于平衡计分卡的土耳其银行业绩效评估与分析网络过程(ANP)
Pub Date : 1900-01-01 DOI: 10.20525/ijdsa.v1i1.1415
H. Di̇nçer, Umit Hacioglu, S. Yuksel
In the last decade, Performance assessment of banking sectors in advanced economies became a prominent issue investment decision. This paper aims to evaluate the balanced-scorecard-based performance of the Turkish banking sector using the Analytic Network Process Approach. Within this scope, all 33 deposit banks were intended to analyze out of 34 banks. Within this scope, we made an analysis in order to determine which perspectives of the balanced scorecard approach are appropriate for each type of bank (state banks, private banks, foreign banks). In this study, we used Analytic Network Process (ANP) approaches so as to achieve this objective. With a balanced-scorecard performance assessment of the banking sector using the ANP approach, all the factor priorities have been extracted and normalized to one for each cluster and final priorities have been obtained. The final priorities and rankings of each perspective of the balanced scorecard and the type of bank ownership have been assessed in the model. According to the results of the analysis, Findings demonstrate that (i) financial factor of balanced scorecard approach has the first rank with 65.7 percent; (ii) Customer perceptive is in the second rank with 22.1 percent. (iii)Third and fourth ranks have close results, (iv) learning and growth stay in the third rank with 6.3 percent (v) internal factor has the weakest importance with 5.9%, (vi) state banks into bank ownership have the highest rank with 53.9 percent, (vii) Private owned banks are the second in the relative performance of the bank groups with 36.1%, (viii) Balanced scorecard based performance of foreign banks are replaced in the last order with approximately 10%.
近十年来,发达经济体银行业绩效评估成为投资决策中的一个突出问题。本文旨在利用分析网络过程方法评估土耳其银行业基于平衡计分卡的绩效。在这一范围内,将对34家银行中的33家储蓄银行全部进行分析。在这个范围内,我们进行了分析,以确定平衡计分卡方法的哪些观点适用于每种类型的银行(国有银行、私人银行、外资银行)。在本研究中,我们使用分析网络过程(ANP)方法来实现这一目标。通过使用ANP方法对银行业进行平衡计分卡绩效评估,提取了所有因素优先级,并将其归一化为每个集群的一个因素,从而获得了最终优先级。平衡计分卡的每个角度的最终优先级和排名以及银行所有权类型已经在模型中进行了评估。根据分析结果,研究发现:(1)平衡计分卡方法的财务因素以65.7%的比例居首位;(ii)客户感知排在第二位,为22.1%。(iii)第三和第四名结果接近,(iv)学习和成长保持在第三名,占6.3%;(v)内部因素的重要性最弱,占5.9%;(vi)国有银行对银行所有权的重要性最高,占53.9%;(vii)私营银行在银行集团的相对绩效中排名第二,占36.1%;(viii)外资银行基于平衡计分卡的绩效以约10%的比例被取代。
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引用次数: 6
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International Journal of Decision Sciences & Applications (2528-956X)
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