Measuring Beef Demand by Country of Origin and Cooking Purpose: The Multiple Discrete-Continuous Extreme Value Model Approach

Yun-Sun Park, Jae Bong Chang
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Abstract

There has been a steady increase in the consumption of Korean beef in recent years, with the per capita consumption of beef reaching a record high in 2022. The domestic beef market provides consumers with more choices, so traditional methods of demand analysis that rely on whole beef products are likely to become less useful. Employing the multiple discrete-continuous extreme value model (MDCEV), we analyze scanner data on consumer panels over a long period. Our findings indicate Hanwoo beef demand is less price sensitive than other beef types. Furthermore, Hanwoo beef has a relatively larger cross-price elasticity than other alternatives. Consumers' income, age, and household size also significantly affect the interrelationship between demand and supply. Higher-income consumers are more likely to choose Hanwoo beef and less likely to choose imported beef. Larger families are more likely to select beef for grilling rather than cooking. These results explain current beef expenditure patterns and help understand how consumers make decisions.
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按原产国和烹调目的衡量牛肉需求:多重离散-连续极值模型方法
近年来,韩国牛肉消费量稳步增长,2022年人均牛肉消费量创下历史新高。国内牛肉市场为消费者提供了更多的选择,因此依赖于全牛肉产品的传统需求分析方法可能会变得不那么有用。采用多重离散-连续极值模型(MDCEV),我们分析了长时间内消费者面板上的扫描仪数据。我们的研究结果表明,韩宇牛肉的需求对价格的敏感度低于其他类型的牛肉。此外,韩宇牛肉的交叉价格弹性也比其他牛肉大。消费者的收入、年龄和家庭规模也显著影响需求和供给的相互关系。高收入消费者更倾向于选择韩宇牛肉,而不太可能选择进口牛肉。大家庭更有可能选择牛肉烧烤而不是烹饪。这些结果解释了目前的牛肉消费模式,并有助于了解消费者如何做出决定。
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