Impact of bank withdrawals taxation on cash holdings, interest rates, inflation and bank deposits: Empirical evidence from Pakistan

Aysha Noor, Z. Ali
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Abstract

To avoid debt burdens and to meet budgetary expenditure within internal resources leads to introduction of bank withdrawal taxation in Pakistan. The research has been carried out to empirically investigate the impact of bank withdrawal taxation on cash holdings, bank deposits, inflation, borrowing and lending rates. The withdrawal taxation was imposed in 2006 therefore the study analysis period has been from 2006 to 2014. The complex relationship among variables leads to analyze the data through VAR. The empirical findings through Vector auto regression (VAR) and impulse response suggests the presence of disintermediation in Pakistani economy. The disintermediation in the economy is captured through the study findings that there is increase in the cash holdings during the study period and reduction in bank deposits. The monetary variables such as inflation, borrowing and lending rates are reduced due to imposition of bank withdrawal taxation.
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银行提款税对现金持有量、利率、通货膨胀和银行存款的影响:来自巴基斯坦的经验证据
为了避免债务负担和在内部资源范围内满足预算支出,巴基斯坦实行了银行提款税。本研究对银行提款税对现金持有量、银行存款、通货膨胀、借贷利率的影响进行了实证研究。提款税于2006年开始征收,因此研究分析期为2006年至2014年。由于变量之间的复杂关系,我们采用VAR对数据进行分析,通过向量自回归(VAR)和脉冲响应的实证结果表明,巴基斯坦经济中存在脱媒现象。通过研究发现,在研究期间现金持有量增加,银行存款减少,可以捕捉到经济中的脱媒现象。由于征收银行提款税,通货膨胀、借贷利率等货币变量减少。
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