Substation-wise Load Composition Identification Based on Step-wise Regression with Load Templates

Sirui Tang, Ting Li, Yunche Su, Yunling Wang, Fang Liu, Haoyu Liu
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Abstract

Component-based load modelling has been widely studied. However, extensive investigations on the consumers, their load devices and their load pattern are needed to determine the substation-wise load composition, which makes it challenging for practical application. In this paper, an integrated data-driven approach is proposed for identification of substation-wise load composition. Firstly, templates of daily load profiles are extracted by semi-supervised clustering. With these load templates, the substation-wise load composition is estimated by using step-wise regression. By fitting the aggregated daily load profile of the substation, the percentage of different kinds of loads, such as industrial load, commercial load and residential load, can be estimated without the need of extensive investigation. Numerical results on practical load data are presented to demonstrate the effectiveness of the proposed approach.
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基于负荷模板逐步回归的变电站负荷组成识别
基于构件的负荷建模得到了广泛的研究。然而,为了确定变电站负载组成,需要对用户、他们的负载设备和他们的负载模式进行广泛的调查,这使得实际应用具有挑战性。本文提出了一种基于数据驱动的综合变电站负荷组成识别方法。首先,采用半监督聚类方法提取日负荷分布模板;利用这些负荷模板,通过逐步回归估计各变电站的负荷组成。通过拟合变电站的综合日负荷曲线,可以在不需要广泛调查的情况下估计出不同类型负荷的百分比,如工业负荷、商业负荷和居民负荷。给出了实际负荷数据的数值结果,验证了该方法的有效性。
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