Wood Bioenergy and Land Use: A Challenge to the Searchinger Hypothesis

R. Sedjo, B. Sohngen, A. Riddle
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引用次数: 1

Abstract

A concern of many environmentalists is that the use of biomass energy will decimate the forests. Searchinger et al. (2008, 2009) examined this issue related to corn ethanol and suggested that substituting corn ethanol for petroleum would increase carbon emissions associated with the land conversion abroad necessary to offset the decline in corn availability. Associated with these concerns is the overall issue of climate change (IPCC 2006). This issue is broader than simply corn. If agricultural croplands are drawn into the production of biofuel feedstocks, commodity prices are expected to rise, triggering land conversions overseas, releasing carbon emissions, and offsetting the carbon reductions expected from bioenergy. Using a general stylized forest sector management model, our study examines the economic potential of traditional industrial forests and supplemental dedicated fuelwood plantations to produce biomass on submarginal lands. It finds that these sources can economically produce large levels of biomass without compromising crop production, thereby mitigating the land conversion and carbon emissions effects posited by the Searchinger Hypothesis.
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木材、生物能源和土地利用:对探索者假说的挑战
许多环保人士担心,使用生物质能会破坏森林。Searchinger等人(2008,2009)研究了与玉米乙醇相关的这个问题,并建议用玉米乙醇代替石油会增加碳排放,这与国外土地转化有关,这是抵消玉米供应下降所必需的。与这些担忧相关的是气候变化的总体问题(IPCC 2006)。这个问题不仅仅是玉米问题。如果农田被用于生产生物燃料原料,预计大宗商品价格将上涨,引发海外土地转换,释放碳排放,抵消生物能源预期的碳减排。我们的研究使用一般的程式化森林部门管理模型,考察了传统工业林和补充专用薪材种植园在亚边缘土地上生产生物质的经济潜力。它发现,这些来源可以在不影响作物生产的情况下经济地产生大量生物量,从而减轻了Searchinger假说所假定的土地转化和碳排放效应。
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